Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 6, aligning with the market’s tight distribution between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins. Onshore westerly flow and a persistent marine layer are expected to moderate temperatures, preventing significant warming despite clear to partly sunny conditions. This setup mirrors the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 70.2°F for the date, with recent days showing highs of 69–72°F under similar synoptic patterns. Key uncertainties include the exact timing and depth of marine intrusion versus any diurnal heating, which could shift the peak by a degree or two; updated model runs overnight will provide the next refinement for traders assessing these narrow ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 6 septembre ?
70-71°F 47%
68-69°F 39%
72-73°F 11%
66-67°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
59°F ou moins
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63 °F
2%
64-65 °F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78°F ou plus
1%
70-71°F 47%
68-69°F 39%
72-73°F 11%
66-67°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
59°F ou moins
$468 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$15 Vol.
1%
62-63 °F
$48 Vol.
2%
64-65 °F
$129 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$480 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$373 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$639 Vol.
47%
72-73°F
$100 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$156 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
3%
78°F ou plus
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 6, aligning with the market’s tight distribution between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins. Onshore westerly flow and a persistent marine layer are expected to moderate temperatures, preventing significant warming despite clear to partly sunny conditions. This setup mirrors the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 70.2°F for the date, with recent days showing highs of 69–72°F under similar synoptic patterns. Key uncertainties include the exact timing and depth of marine intrusion versus any diurnal heating, which could shift the peak by a degree or two; updated model runs overnight will provide the next refinement for traders assessing these narrow ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,413Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 6, aligning with the market’s tight distribution between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins. Onshore westerly flow and a persistent marine layer are expected to moderate temperatures, preventing significant warming despite clear to partly sunny conditions. This setup mirrors the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 70.2°F for the date, with recent days showing highs of 69–72°F under similar synoptic patterns. Key uncertainties include the exact timing and depth of marine intrusion versus any diurnal heating, which could shift the peak by a degree or two; updated model runs overnight will provide the next refinement for traders assessing these narrow ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,413Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 6, aligning with the market’s tight distribution between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins. Onshore westerly flow and a persistent marine layer are expected to moderate temperatures, preventing significant warming despite clear to partly sunny conditions. This setup mirrors the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 70.2°F for the date, with recent days showing highs of 69–72°F under similar synoptic patterns. Key uncertainties include the exact timing and depth of marine intrusion versus any diurnal heating, which could shift the peak by a degree or two; updated model runs overnight will provide the next refinement for traders assessing these narrow ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71°F le 4 septembre ?
100%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71 °F le 5 septembre ?
42%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 58 et 59°F le 6 septembre ?
47%
Oui
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