Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to widespread afternoon thunderstorms across South Florida on September 7, driven by a persistently moist tropical airmass with precipitable water values above the 90th percentile for early September and sea-breeze interactions. These conditions favor cloud cover and rainfall that cap peak heating, aligning with forecast highs near 88–90°F and heat indices near 105°F. Recent days have seen similar patterns with highs of 89–93°F moderated by storms, consistent with climatological September averages. Market-implied probabilities favoring 88–91°F reflect this consensus on convective suppression of maximum temperatures, with limited upside from clearer skies or stronger ridging. Updated NHC and local forecast briefings ahead of Labor Day will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 7 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 7 septembre ?
90-91 °F 44%
88-89°F 28%
92-93°F 19%
94-95°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
79°F ou moins
3%
80-81°F
5%
82-83 °F
5%
84-85 °F
5%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
28%
90-91 °F
44%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
7%
96-97 °F
3%
98°F ou plus
3%
90-91 °F 44%
88-89°F 28%
92-93°F 19%
94-95°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
79°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
5%
82-83 °F
$0 Vol.
5%
84-85 °F
$0 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$55 Vol.
28%
90-91 °F
$50 Vol.
44%
92-93°F
$41 Vol.
19%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
7%
96-97 °F
$0 Vol.
3%
98°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to widespread afternoon thunderstorms across South Florida on September 7, driven by a persistently moist tropical airmass with precipitable water values above the 90th percentile for early September and sea-breeze interactions. These conditions favor cloud cover and rainfall that cap peak heating, aligning with forecast highs near 88–90°F and heat indices near 105°F. Recent days have seen similar patterns with highs of 89–93°F moderated by storms, consistent with climatological September averages. Market-implied probabilities favoring 88–91°F reflect this consensus on convective suppression of maximum temperatures, with limited upside from clearer skies or stronger ridging. Updated NHC and local forecast briefings ahead of Labor Day will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$146Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to widespread afternoon thunderstorms across South Florida on September 7, driven by a persistently moist tropical airmass with precipitable water values above the 90th percentile for early September and sea-breeze interactions. These conditions favor cloud cover and rainfall that cap peak heating, aligning with forecast highs near 88–90°F and heat indices near 105°F. Recent days have seen similar patterns with highs of 89–93°F moderated by storms, consistent with climatological September averages. Market-implied probabilities favoring 88–91°F reflect this consensus on convective suppression of maximum temperatures, with limited upside from clearer skies or stronger ridging. Updated NHC and local forecast briefings ahead of Labor Day will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$146Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to widespread afternoon thunderstorms across South Florida on September 7, driven by a persistently moist tropical airmass with precipitable water values above the 90th percentile for early September and sea-breeze interactions. These conditions favor cloud cover and rainfall that cap peak heating, aligning with forecast highs near 88–90°F and heat indices near 105°F. Recent days have seen similar patterns with highs of 89–93°F moderated by storms, consistent with climatological September averages. Market-implied probabilities favoring 88–91°F reflect this consensus on convective suppression of maximum temperatures, with limited upside from clearer skies or stronger ridging. Updated NHC and local forecast briefings ahead of Labor Day will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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