**Forecast models and official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum of 30–31°C on September 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those outcomes.** Light winds, a broad cloud band, and scattered showers are expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks near the seasonal early-September norm of roughly 30–31°C. Recent observations show similar highs of 30–32°C under comparable conditions, while numerical guidance consistently places the daily maximum in the 30–31°C range rather than pushing toward 33°C or higher. The implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with traders assigning meaningful weight to 32°C only if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Resolution hinges on the official Hong Kong Observatory daily maximum reading, which incorporates data from multiple stations and accounts for the moderating effects of humidity and precipitation expected throughout the day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 6 septembre ?
31°C 41%
30°C 26%
32°C 21%
29°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
26%
31°C
41%
32°C
21%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 26%
32°C 21%
29°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$245 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$444 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,650 Vol.
8%
30°C
$626 Vol.
26%
31°C
$860 Vol.
41%
32°C
$1,673 Vol.
21%
33°C
$312 Vol.
6%
34°C
$300 Vol.
1%
35°C ou plus
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models and official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum of 30–31°C on September 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those outcomes.** Light winds, a broad cloud band, and scattered showers are expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks near the seasonal early-September norm of roughly 30–31°C. Recent observations show similar highs of 30–32°C under comparable conditions, while numerical guidance consistently places the daily maximum in the 30–31°C range rather than pushing toward 33°C or higher.
The implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with traders assigning meaningful weight to 32°C only if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Resolution hinges on the official Hong Kong Observatory daily maximum reading, which incorporates data from multiple stations and accounts for the moderating effects of humidity and precipitation expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,415Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models and official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum of 30–31°C on September 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those outcomes.** Light winds, a broad cloud band, and scattered showers are expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks near the seasonal early-September norm of roughly 30–31°C. Recent observations show similar highs of 30–32°C under comparable conditions, while numerical guidance consistently places the daily maximum in the 30–31°C range rather than pushing toward 33°C or higher.
The implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with traders assigning meaningful weight to 32°C only if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Resolution hinges on the official Hong Kong Observatory daily maximum reading, which incorporates data from multiple stations and accounts for the moderating effects of humidity and precipitation expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,415Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum of 30–31°C on September 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those outcomes.** Light winds, a broad cloud band, and scattered showers are expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks near the seasonal early-September norm of roughly 30–31°C. Recent observations show similar highs of 30–32°C under comparable conditions, while numerical guidance consistently places the daily maximum in the 30–31°C range rather than pushing toward 33°C or higher. The implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with traders assigning meaningful weight to 32°C only if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Resolution hinges on the official Hong Kong Observatory daily maximum reading, which incorporates data from multiple stations and accounts for the moderating effects of humidity and precipitation expected throughout the day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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