**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a high near 22°C for Paris on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the climatological average high of 22.3°C.** Current runs from sources using GFS data and others project afternoon maxima of 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds around 3–7 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. Stable high pressure and typical early-September steering patterns suppress significant warming or cooling, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the long-term norm rather than extremes seen in prior years (e.g., 34.9°C in 2023). This scientific baseline—verified observations and short-range model agreement—explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (56%), with 21°C and 23°C as secondary options reflecting minor model spread and uncertainty ranges in maximum temperature resolution. No major atmospheric shifts or updated guidance have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning, reinforcing the market-implied odds as a capital-weighted assessment of near-term forecast stability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Paris le 10 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Paris le 10 septembre ?
22°C 57%
23°C 19%
21°C 16%
24°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$12,051 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,051 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
16%
22°C
57%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
22°C 57%
23°C 19%
21°C 16%
24°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$12,051 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,051 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
$1,347 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,164 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$615 Vol.
1%
20°C
$276 Vol.
3%
21°C
$2,829 Vol.
16%
22°C
$1,960 Vol.
57%
23°C
$1,997 Vol.
19%
24°C
$374 Vol.
5%
25°C
$208 Vol.
1%
26°C
$472 Vol.
1%
27°C ou plus
$809 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a high near 22°C for Paris on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the climatological average high of 22.3°C.** Current runs from sources using GFS data and others project afternoon maxima of 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds around 3–7 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. Stable high pressure and typical early-September steering patterns suppress significant warming or cooling, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the long-term norm rather than extremes seen in prior years (e.g., 34.9°C in 2023).
This scientific baseline—verified observations and short-range model agreement—explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (56%), with 21°C and 23°C as secondary options reflecting minor model spread and uncertainty ranges in maximum temperature resolution. No major atmospheric shifts or updated guidance have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning, reinforcing the market-implied odds as a capital-weighted assessment of near-term forecast stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,051Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a high near 22°C for Paris on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the climatological average high of 22.3°C.** Current runs from sources using GFS data and others project afternoon maxima of 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds around 3–7 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. Stable high pressure and typical early-September steering patterns suppress significant warming or cooling, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the long-term norm rather than extremes seen in prior years (e.g., 34.9°C in 2023).
This scientific baseline—verified observations and short-range model agreement—explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (56%), with 21°C and 23°C as secondary options reflecting minor model spread and uncertainty ranges in maximum temperature resolution. No major atmospheric shifts or updated guidance have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning, reinforcing the market-implied odds as a capital-weighted assessment of near-term forecast stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,051Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a high near 22°C for Paris on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the climatological average high of 22.3°C.** Current runs from sources using GFS data and others project afternoon maxima of 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds around 3–7 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. Stable high pressure and typical early-September steering patterns suppress significant warming or cooling, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the long-term norm rather than extremes seen in prior years (e.g., 34.9°C in 2023). This scientific baseline—verified observations and short-range model agreement—explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (56%), with 21°C and 23°C as secondary options reflecting minor model spread and uncertainty ranges in maximum temperature resolution. No major atmospheric shifts or updated guidance have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning, reinforcing the market-implied odds as a capital-weighted assessment of near-term forecast stability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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