Recent observational data and high-resolution forecast models indicate clear skies and light westerly winds over Paris, promoting strong radiational cooling overnight and supporting a daily minimum near 9°C. This aligns with surface observations showing temperatures dropping into the single digits Celsius by early morning, below the September climatological average low of about 12°C. Numerical weather prediction consensus from major centers reinforces this narrow range, with minimal model spread on the overnight low. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C reflects confidence in these stable conditions, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns could limit cooling and push the minimum to 10°C or higher, while a sharper cold-air intrusion remains a low-probability outlier.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Paris le 10 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Paris le 10 septembre ?
9°C 99.5%
7°C ou moins 3%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$8,200 Vol.
$8,200 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
3%
8°C
<1%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C ou plus
<1%
9°C 99.5%
7°C ou moins 3%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$8,200 Vol.
$8,200 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$691 Vol.
3%
8°C
$1,560 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,413 Vol.
100%
10°C
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$552 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$495 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$731 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
17°C ou plus
$65 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and high-resolution forecast models indicate clear skies and light westerly winds over Paris, promoting strong radiational cooling overnight and supporting a daily minimum near 9°C. This aligns with surface observations showing temperatures dropping into the single digits Celsius by early morning, below the September climatological average low of about 12°C. Numerical weather prediction consensus from major centers reinforces this narrow range, with minimal model spread on the overnight low. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C reflects confidence in these stable conditions, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns could limit cooling and push the minimum to 10°C or higher, while a sharper cold-air intrusion remains a low-probability outlier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$8,200Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and high-resolution forecast models indicate clear skies and light westerly winds over Paris, promoting strong radiational cooling overnight and supporting a daily minimum near 9°C. This aligns with surface observations showing temperatures dropping into the single digits Celsius by early morning, below the September climatological average low of about 12°C. Numerical weather prediction consensus from major centers reinforces this narrow range, with minimal model spread on the overnight low. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C reflects confidence in these stable conditions, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns could limit cooling and push the minimum to 10°C or higher, while a sharper cold-air intrusion remains a low-probability outlier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,200Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and high-resolution forecast models indicate clear skies and light westerly winds over Paris, promoting strong radiational cooling overnight and supporting a daily minimum near 9°C. This aligns with surface observations showing temperatures dropping into the single digits Celsius by early morning, below the September climatological average low of about 12°C. Numerical weather prediction consensus from major centers reinforces this narrow range, with minimal model spread on the overnight low. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C reflects confidence in these stable conditions, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns could limit cooling and push the minimum to 10°C or higher, while a sharper cold-air intrusion remains a low-probability outlier.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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