**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a September 15 high in Wuhan near 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, explaining the tight market split (29°C at 32%, 30°C at 28%).** Recent days reached 32–34°C with clearer conditions, but an approaching weather pattern increase in cloud cover and slightly cooler advection has tempered daytime heating. Key differentiators include the exact timing and thickness of cloud layers, which limit solar insolation and thus peak temperature by 1–2°C, alongside minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs show low precipitation risk and stable pressure, keeping probabilities concentrated on these two outcomes while assigning smaller shares to 28°C or 31°C if conditions shift. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will further refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 15 septembre ?
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
18%
29°C
32%
30°C
28%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$71 Vol.
3%
27°C
$263 Vol.
10%
28°C
$420 Vol.
18%
29°C
$351 Vol.
32%
30°C
$178 Vol.
28%
31°C
$509 Vol.
12%
32°C
$54 Vol.
4%
33°C
$95 Vol.
2%
34°C
$10 Vol.
1%
35°C
$149 Vol.
1%
36°C ou plus
$149 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a September 15 high in Wuhan near 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, explaining the tight market split (29°C at 32%, 30°C at 28%).** Recent days reached 32–34°C with clearer conditions, but an approaching weather pattern increase in cloud cover and slightly cooler advection has tempered daytime heating. Key differentiators include the exact timing and thickness of cloud layers, which limit solar insolation and thus peak temperature by 1–2°C, alongside minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs show low precipitation risk and stable pressure, keeping probabilities concentrated on these two outcomes while assigning smaller shares to 28°C or 31°C if conditions shift. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will further refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$2,250Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a September 15 high in Wuhan near 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, explaining the tight market split (29°C at 32%, 30°C at 28%).** Recent days reached 32–34°C with clearer conditions, but an approaching weather pattern increase in cloud cover and slightly cooler advection has tempered daytime heating. Key differentiators include the exact timing and thickness of cloud layers, which limit solar insolation and thus peak temperature by 1–2°C, alongside minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs show low precipitation risk and stable pressure, keeping probabilities concentrated on these two outcomes while assigning smaller shares to 28°C or 31°C if conditions shift. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will further refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,250Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a September 15 high in Wuhan near 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, explaining the tight market split (29°C at 32%, 30°C at 28%).** Recent days reached 32–34°C with clearer conditions, but an approaching weather pattern increase in cloud cover and slightly cooler advection has tempered daytime heating. Key differentiators include the exact timing and thickness of cloud layers, which limit solar insolation and thus peak temperature by 1–2°C, alongside minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs show low precipitation risk and stable pressure, keeping probabilities concentrated on these two outcomes while assigning smaller shares to 28°C or 31°C if conditions shift. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will further refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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