Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models from sources including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international runs show Moscow's September 16 high likely reaching 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. This consensus drives the near-even market weighting between 17°C and 18°C as the modal outcomes. Subtle differences among leading probabilities stem from variations in predicted cloud cover, which can suppress daytime maxima by 1–2°C, and minor steering flow adjustments in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Cooler 16°C scenarios gain traction if northerly advection strengthens overnight, while warmer 19°C outcomes hinge on greater insolation. Updated model guidance expected over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria around observed peak readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Moscou le 16 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Moscou le 16 septembre ?
18°C 29%
17°C 25%
20°C 19%
19°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
5%
13°C
4%
14°C
11%
15°C
6%
16°C
14%
17°C
25%
18°C
26%
19°C
17%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C ou plus
5%
18°C 29%
17°C 25%
20°C 19%
19°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
5%
13°C
$0 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$20 Vol.
6%
16°C
$0 Vol.
14%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$8 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models from sources including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international runs show Moscow's September 16 high likely reaching 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. This consensus drives the near-even market weighting between 17°C and 18°C as the modal outcomes. Subtle differences among leading probabilities stem from variations in predicted cloud cover, which can suppress daytime maxima by 1–2°C, and minor steering flow adjustments in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Cooler 16°C scenarios gain traction if northerly advection strengthens overnight, while warmer 19°C outcomes hinge on greater insolation. Updated model guidance expected over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria around observed peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$28Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models from sources including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international runs show Moscow's September 16 high likely reaching 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. This consensus drives the near-even market weighting between 17°C and 18°C as the modal outcomes. Subtle differences among leading probabilities stem from variations in predicted cloud cover, which can suppress daytime maxima by 1–2°C, and minor steering flow adjustments in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Cooler 16°C scenarios gain traction if northerly advection strengthens overnight, while warmer 19°C outcomes hinge on greater insolation. Updated model guidance expected over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria around observed peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models from sources including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international runs show Moscow's September 16 high likely reaching 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. This consensus drives the near-even market weighting between 17°C and 18°C as the modal outcomes. Subtle differences among leading probabilities stem from variations in predicted cloud cover, which can suppress daytime maxima by 1–2°C, and minor steering flow adjustments in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Cooler 16°C scenarios gain traction if northerly advection strengthens overnight, while warmer 19°C outcomes hinge on greater insolation. Updated model guidance expected over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria around observed peak readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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