Latest forecast models from sources like GFS and European ensembles point to a warm southerly flow under high pressure, with clear to mostly sunny conditions and light southwesterly winds driving daytime highs near 31–32°C on September 15. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 22°C and aligns with the current warm spell observed through mid-September. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in cloud or wind shifts create the narrow clustering around 31–33°C, reflected in trader-implied odds favoring 32°C at 50.5%. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Paris le 15 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Paris le 15 septembre ?
32°C 51%
31°C 21%
33°C 21%
34°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
21%
32°C
51%
33°C
21%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C ou plus
2%
32°C 51%
31°C 21%
33°C 21%
34°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$20 Vol.
2%
29°C
$30 Vol.
2%
30°C
$21 Vol.
6%
31°C
$542 Vol.
21%
32°C
$1,650 Vol.
51%
33°C
$325 Vol.
21%
34°C
$267 Vol.
6%
35°C
$10 Vol.
2%
36°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like GFS and European ensembles point to a warm southerly flow under high pressure, with clear to mostly sunny conditions and light southwesterly winds driving daytime highs near 31–32°C on September 15. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 22°C and aligns with the current warm spell observed through mid-September. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in cloud or wind shifts create the narrow clustering around 31–33°C, reflected in trader-implied odds favoring 32°C at 50.5%. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$2,891Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like GFS and European ensembles point to a warm southerly flow under high pressure, with clear to mostly sunny conditions and light southwesterly winds driving daytime highs near 31–32°C on September 15. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 22°C and aligns with the current warm spell observed through mid-September. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in cloud or wind shifts create the narrow clustering around 31–33°C, reflected in trader-implied odds favoring 32°C at 50.5%. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,891Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources like GFS and European ensembles point to a warm southerly flow under high pressure, with clear to mostly sunny conditions and light southwesterly winds driving daytime highs near 31–32°C on September 15. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 22°C and aligns with the current warm spell observed through mid-September. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in cloud or wind shifts create the narrow clustering around 31–33°C, reflected in trader-implied odds favoring 32°C at 50.5%. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes