Current short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models places São Paulo’s July 12 maximum near the seasonal 21–22 °C climatological baseline, yet with modest warm bias supporting the market’s near-even 32 % odds on 23 °C versus 24 °C. Subtropical winter conditions feature a stable Atlantic high, light northeasterly flow, and limited moisture that keeps diurnal warming sensitive to small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima cluster tightly around 21–23 °C, so one-degree distinctions hinge on whether afternoon insolation peaks slightly above or below model consensus before official INMET observations resolve the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 12 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 12 juillet ?
23°C 33%
24°C 32%
22°C 15%
25°C 13.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 juil. 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
15%
23°C
33%
24°C
32%
25°C
13%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 33%
24°C 32%
22°C 15%
25°C 13.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 juil. 2026
19°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$96 Vol.
4%
21°C
$27 Vol.
3%
22°C
$88 Vol.
15%
23°C
$118 Vol.
33%
24°C
$77 Vol.
32%
25°C
$33 Vol.
13%
26°C
$278 Vol.
2%
27°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$255 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models places São Paulo’s July 12 maximum near the seasonal 21–22 °C climatological baseline, yet with modest warm bias supporting the market’s near-even 32 % odds on 23 °C versus 24 °C. Subtropical winter conditions feature a stable Atlantic high, light northeasterly flow, and limited moisture that keeps diurnal warming sensitive to small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima cluster tightly around 21–23 °C, so one-degree distinctions hinge on whether afternoon insolation peaks slightly above or below model consensus before official INMET observations resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,713Date de fin
12 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models places São Paulo’s July 12 maximum near the seasonal 21–22 °C climatological baseline, yet with modest warm bias supporting the market’s near-even 32 % odds on 23 °C versus 24 °C. Subtropical winter conditions feature a stable Atlantic high, light northeasterly flow, and limited moisture that keeps diurnal warming sensitive to small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima cluster tightly around 21–23 °C, so one-degree distinctions hinge on whether afternoon insolation peaks slightly above or below model consensus before official INMET observations resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,713Date de fin
12 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models places São Paulo’s July 12 maximum near the seasonal 21–22 °C climatological baseline, yet with modest warm bias supporting the market’s near-even 32 % odds on 23 °C versus 24 °C. Subtropical winter conditions feature a stable Atlantic high, light northeasterly flow, and limited moisture that keeps diurnal warming sensitive to small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima cluster tightly around 21–23 °C, so one-degree distinctions hinge on whether afternoon insolation peaks slightly above or below model consensus before official INMET observations resolve the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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