Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasts a high of 28°C for Tokyo on June 18 under cloudy skies with scattered showers, yet ensemble models and regional guidance show a tighter cluster around 25–27°C due to moderating sea-breeze effects and limited daytime heating. Mid-June climatology under the expanding subtropical high typically produces daily maxima of 25–28°C, with cloud cover and precipitation reducing the odds of reaching or exceeding 29°C. Trader positioning favoring 26°C reflects these boundary-layer and moisture influences, while lower probabilities on 24°C or below align with the absence of strong frontal systems. Updated JMA briefings and refined model runs over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
26°C 41%
25°C 29%
27°C 16%
28°C 6.4%
NOUVEAU
$22,030 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$22,030 Vol.
18 juin 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
29%
26°C
41%
27°C
16%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 29%
27°C 16%
28°C 6.4%
NOUVEAU
$22,030 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$22,030 Vol.
18 juin 2026
21°C or below
$1,052 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$927 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,126 Vol.
3%
24°C
$4,086 Vol.
4%
25°C
$3,245 Vol.
29%
26°C
$2,146 Vol.
41%
27°C
$1,907 Vol.
16%
28°C
$1,655 Vol.
6%
29°C
$2,054 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,171 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasts a high of 28°C for Tokyo on June 18 under cloudy skies with scattered showers, yet ensemble models and regional guidance show a tighter cluster around 25–27°C due to moderating sea-breeze effects and limited daytime heating. Mid-June climatology under the expanding subtropical high typically produces daily maxima of 25–28°C, with cloud cover and precipitation reducing the odds of reaching or exceeding 29°C. Trader positioning favoring 26°C reflects these boundary-layer and moisture influences, while lower probabilities on 24°C or below align with the absence of strong frontal systems. Updated JMA briefings and refined model runs over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$22,030Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasts a high of 28°C for Tokyo on June 18 under cloudy skies with scattered showers, yet ensemble models and regional guidance show a tighter cluster around 25–27°C due to moderating sea-breeze effects and limited daytime heating. Mid-June climatology under the expanding subtropical high typically produces daily maxima of 25–28°C, with cloud cover and precipitation reducing the odds of reaching or exceeding 29°C. Trader positioning favoring 26°C reflects these boundary-layer and moisture influences, while lower probabilities on 24°C or below align with the absence of strong frontal systems. Updated JMA briefings and refined model runs over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,030Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasts a high of 28°C for Tokyo on June 18 under cloudy skies with scattered showers, yet ensemble models and regional guidance show a tighter cluster around 25–27°C due to moderating sea-breeze effects and limited daytime heating. Mid-June climatology under the expanding subtropical high typically produces daily maxima of 25–28°C, with cloud cover and precipitation reducing the odds of reaching or exceeding 29°C. Trader positioning favoring 26°C reflects these boundary-layer and moisture influences, while lower probabilities on 24°C or below align with the absence of strong frontal systems. Updated JMA briefings and refined model runs over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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