Forecast models from European and global ensembles currently cluster Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 26 near 22–24 °C, producing the tight market distribution across those three outcomes. Day-to-day differences arise primarily from uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the timing of any weak frontal passage; greater insolation under clearer skies could push the high toward 24 °C, while increased low-level stratus or light rain would cap readings at 22 °C or below. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and their spread, which still spans roughly 2 °C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 23 °C, providing context but little additional signal this close to the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 26 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 26 août ?
23°C 38%
22°C 33%
24°C 25%
20°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C
33%
23°C
38%
24°C
25%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 38%
22°C 33%
24°C 25%
20°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$148 Vol.
6%
21°C
$90 Vol.
6%
22°C
$58 Vol.
33%
23°C
$61 Vol.
38%
24°C
$33 Vol.
25%
25°C
$28 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
5%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European and global ensembles currently cluster Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 26 near 22–24 °C, producing the tight market distribution across those three outcomes. Day-to-day differences arise primarily from uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the timing of any weak frontal passage; greater insolation under clearer skies could push the high toward 24 °C, while increased low-level stratus or light rain would cap readings at 22 °C or below. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and their spread, which still spans roughly 2 °C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 23 °C, providing context but little additional signal this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$435Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European and global ensembles currently cluster Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 26 near 22–24 °C, producing the tight market distribution across those three outcomes. Day-to-day differences arise primarily from uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the timing of any weak frontal passage; greater insolation under clearer skies could push the high toward 24 °C, while increased low-level stratus or light rain would cap readings at 22 °C or below. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and their spread, which still spans roughly 2 °C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 23 °C, providing context but little additional signal this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$435Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from European and global ensembles currently cluster Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 26 near 22–24 °C, producing the tight market distribution across those three outcomes. Day-to-day differences arise primarily from uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the timing of any weak frontal passage; greater insolation under clearer skies could push the high toward 24 °C, while increased low-level stratus or light rain would cap readings at 22 °C or below. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and their spread, which still spans roughly 2 °C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 23 °C, providing context but little additional signal this close to the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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