Recent monthly sales data from China and Europe signal a rebound for Tesla's electric vehicle lineup, with Giga Shanghai Model 3/Y registrations rising sharply year-over-year and European volumes surging over 100% in key markets after Q1's 358,023 deliveries fell short amid Model Y refresh disruptions and inventory buildup. This positions the closely contested 375k–400k and 475k+ bands as the market's primary focus, reflecting uncertainty over whether sustained demand recovery and Gigafactory production ramps can close the sequential gap against intensifying competition and softening U.S. incentives. Traders are monitoring May registration trackers and June output trends ahead of the early-July report for clearer signals on whether volumes stabilize near 400k or accelerate toward the upper ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien de livraisons Tesla au T2 2026 ?
475k+ 25.4%
450k–475k 24.3%
375k–400k 21%
425k–450k 14%
$41,747 Vol.
$41,747 Vol.
<300k
6%
300k–325k
1%
325k–350k
9%
350k–375k
17%
375k–400k
30%
400k–425k
16%
425k–450k
14%
450k–475k
24%
475k+
25%
475k+ 25.4%
450k–475k 24.3%
375k–400k 21%
425k–450k 14%
$41,747 Vol.
$41,747 Vol.
<300k
6%
300k–325k
1%
325k–350k
9%
350k–375k
17%
375k–400k
30%
400k–425k
16%
425k–450k
14%
450k–475k
24%
475k+
25%
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly sales data from China and Europe signal a rebound for Tesla's electric vehicle lineup, with Giga Shanghai Model 3/Y registrations rising sharply year-over-year and European volumes surging over 100% in key markets after Q1's 358,023 deliveries fell short amid Model Y refresh disruptions and inventory buildup. This positions the closely contested 375k–400k and 475k+ bands as the market's primary focus, reflecting uncertainty over whether sustained demand recovery and Gigafactory production ramps can close the sequential gap against intensifying competition and softening U.S. incentives. Traders are monitoring May registration trackers and June output trends ahead of the early-July report for clearer signals on whether volumes stabilize near 400k or accelerate toward the upper ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes