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Politique·Krakao

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Cracovie

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Cracovie
Politique·Krakao

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Cracovie

Łukasz Gibała 68%

Monika Piątkowska 14%

Rafał Komarewicz 9.0%

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Łukasz Gibała 68%

Monika Piątkowska 14%

Rafał Komarewicz 9.0%

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$5,973 Vol.

68%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$142 Vol.

14%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$198 Vol.

7%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$91 Vol.

6%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$174 Vol.

6%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$133 Vol.

5%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$176 Vol.

5%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$171 Vol.

5%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$247 Vol.

5%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$217 Vol.

4%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$367 Vol.

3%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$234 Vol.

3%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$76 Vol.

8%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$172 Vol.

1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$171 Vol.

1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$174 Vol.

1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$160 Vol.

1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads trader consensus in the September 27, 2026 snap Kraków mayoral election at 67% implied probability, reflecting his established local profile as an independent city councilor and founder of the Kraków for Residents movement. He narrowly lost the 2024 runoff to then-incumbent Aleksander Miszalski by under 6,000 votes before Miszalski’s overwhelming recall in the May 2026 referendum, which cleared the path for early voting. Gibała’s recent formal announcement of his fourth candidacy has reinforced his position as the frontrunner outside major national parties. Other candidates, including Civic Coalition’s Monika Piątkowska (13.5%) and Law and Justice-backed Michał Drewnicki (7%), trail amid fragmented opposition fields and lower name recognition. Market pricing captures the advantages of incumbency-like local support and the referendum’s momentum favoring non-governing alternatives ahead of the first-round vote.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$8,875
Date de fin
27 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads trader consensus in the September 27, 2026 snap Kraków mayoral election at 67% implied probability, reflecting his established local profile as an independent city councilor and founder of the Kraków for Residents movement. He narrowly lost the 2024 runoff to then-incumbent Aleksander Miszalski by under 6,000 votes before Miszalski’s overwhelming recall in the May 2026 referendum, which cleared the path for early voting. Gibała’s recent formal announcement of his fourth candidacy has reinforced his position as the frontrunner outside major national parties. Other candidates, including Civic Coalition’s Monika Piątkowska (13.5%) and Law and Justice-backed Michał Drewnicki (7%), trail amid fragmented opposition fields and lower name recognition. Market pricing captures the advantages of incumbency-like local support and the referendum’s momentum favoring non-governing alternatives ahead of the first-round vote.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$8,875
Date de fin
27 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Cracovie » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Łukasz Gibała » à 68%, suivi de « Monika Piątkowska » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 68¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Cracovie » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 6, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Cracovie », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Cracovie » est « Łukasz Gibała » à 68%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Monika Piątkowska » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Cracovie » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.