With two matchdays left after a dramatic Matchday 36, trader consensus pins Espanyol as the frontrunner for 17th place and relegation survival at 48% implied probability, bolstered by their climb to 14th on 42 points and a crucial recent victory that snapped a 143-day winless streak, improving head-to-head tiebreakers. Elche follows at 37% with 39 points and the best goal difference (-9) among bottom-six contenders, reflecting recent draws and wins amid bouncing form. Levante's 35.5% reflects strong momentum (recent W-W-L-D-W run) despite a poor -15 GD on 39 points, as their latest triumph pushed Espanyol deeper into the scrum. A cluster of mid-table sides like Mallorca, Girona, Alavés, and Valencia (all around 39-42 points) hover at 32%, exposed by the razor-thin three-point gap from 14th to 19th in the La Liga table.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAthletic Bilbao 64%
Real Sociedad 64%
Mallorca 64%
Osasuna 64%
$10,786 Vol.
$10,786 Vol.
Athletic Bilbao
64%
Real Sociedad
64%
Mallorca
64%
Osasuna
64%
Girona
64%
Rayo Vallecano
64%
Deportivo Alaves
64%
Valencia
64%
Levante
64%
Sevilla
10%
Espanyol
48%
Elche
-
Athletic Bilbao 64%
Real Sociedad 64%
Mallorca 64%
Osasuna 64%
$10,786 Vol.
$10,786 Vol.
Athletic Bilbao
64%
Real Sociedad
64%
Mallorca
64%
Osasuna
64%
Girona
64%
Rayo Vallecano
64%
Deportivo Alaves
64%
Valencia
64%
Levante
64%
Sevilla
10%
Espanyol
48%
Elche
-
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2025-26 LALIGA (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 17th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 6, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2025-26 LALIGA (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 17th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With two matchdays left after a dramatic Matchday 36, trader consensus pins Espanyol as the frontrunner for 17th place and relegation survival at 48% implied probability, bolstered by their climb to 14th on 42 points and a crucial recent victory that snapped a 143-day winless streak, improving head-to-head tiebreakers. Elche follows at 37% with 39 points and the best goal difference (-9) among bottom-six contenders, reflecting recent draws and wins amid bouncing form. Levante's 35.5% reflects strong momentum (recent W-W-L-D-W run) despite a poor -15 GD on 39 points, as their latest triumph pushed Espanyol deeper into the scrum. A cluster of mid-table sides like Mallorca, Girona, Alavés, and Valencia (all around 39-42 points) hover at 32%, exposed by the razor-thin three-point gap from 14th to 19th in the La Liga table.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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