Recent forecasts and seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for late July 2026, anchoring trader consensus around 24–26°C as the most probable overnight lows. These values align with long-term July climatology, where radiative cooling under typical monsoon humidity and cloud cover yields minimums near 26°C. Differentiation among leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables: increased shower activity or thicker cloud decks can suppress nighttime cooling toward 24–25°C, while clearer skies or stronger southerly flow may hold lows near 26–27°C. Model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours sustains the tight probabilities, with resolution depending on official observatory readings at the reference station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 29 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 29 juillet ?
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
24°C 16%
27°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 juil. 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
11%
24°C
16%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
14%
28°C
9%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
24°C 16%
27°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 juil. 2026
21°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$42 Vol.
1%
23°C
$32 Vol.
11%
24°C
$110 Vol.
16%
25°C
$23 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
14%
28°C
$13 Vol.
9%
29°C
$32 Vol.
8%
30°C
$10 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts and seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for late July 2026, anchoring trader consensus around 24–26°C as the most probable overnight lows. These values align with long-term July climatology, where radiative cooling under typical monsoon humidity and cloud cover yields minimums near 26°C. Differentiation among leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables: increased shower activity or thicker cloud decks can suppress nighttime cooling toward 24–25°C, while clearer skies or stronger southerly flow may hold lows near 26–27°C. Model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours sustains the tight probabilities, with resolution depending on official observatory readings at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$281Date de fin
29 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts and seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for late July 2026, anchoring trader consensus around 24–26°C as the most probable overnight lows. These values align with long-term July climatology, where radiative cooling under typical monsoon humidity and cloud cover yields minimums near 26°C. Differentiation among leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables: increased shower activity or thicker cloud decks can suppress nighttime cooling toward 24–25°C, while clearer skies or stronger southerly flow may hold lows near 26–27°C. Model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours sustains the tight probabilities, with resolution depending on official observatory readings at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$281Date de fin
29 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for late July 2026, anchoring trader consensus around 24–26°C as the most probable overnight lows. These values align with long-term July climatology, where radiative cooling under typical monsoon humidity and cloud cover yields minimums near 26°C. Differentiation among leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables: increased shower activity or thicker cloud decks can suppress nighttime cooling toward 24–25°C, while clearer skies or stronger southerly flow may hold lows near 26–27°C. Model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours sustains the tight probabilities, with resolution depending on official observatory readings at the reference station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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