Official Met Office and ECMWF guidance for London on July 22 project a nighttime minimum near 16°C under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with July climatology of 13–15°C lows. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns 45% to 12°C or below, reflecting notable ensemble spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potential high-pressure setups that could clear skies and drop temperatures further if dew points fall or wind speeds remain below 5 km/h. Key differentiating variables include forecast cloud cover, which traps heat and raises minima by 2–4°C, versus drier air masses that enhance surface heat loss; recent model runs show modest variability in these parameters over the next 48 hours, keeping the 13–16°C range tightly bunched at 35–36% while capping warmer outcomes below 12%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 22 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 22 juillet ?
17°C 46%
16°C 35%
15°C 14%
18°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 juil. 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
14%
16°C
35%
17°C
46%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 35%
15°C 14%
18°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 juil. 2026
12°C or below
$34 Vol.
1%
13°C
$18 Vol.
2%
14°C
$20 Vol.
4%
15°C
$104 Vol.
14%
16°C
$108 Vol.
35%
17°C
$191 Vol.
46%
18°C
$121 Vol.
9%
19°C
$9 Vol.
1%
20°C
$29 Vol.
1%
21°C
$54 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office and ECMWF guidance for London on July 22 project a nighttime minimum near 16°C under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with July climatology of 13–15°C lows. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns 45% to 12°C or below, reflecting notable ensemble spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potential high-pressure setups that could clear skies and drop temperatures further if dew points fall or wind speeds remain below 5 km/h. Key differentiating variables include forecast cloud cover, which traps heat and raises minima by 2–4°C, versus drier air masses that enhance surface heat loss; recent model runs show modest variability in these parameters over the next 48 hours, keeping the 13–16°C range tightly bunched at 35–36% while capping warmer outcomes below 12%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$859Date de fin
22 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office and ECMWF guidance for London on July 22 project a nighttime minimum near 16°C under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with July climatology of 13–15°C lows. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns 45% to 12°C or below, reflecting notable ensemble spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potential high-pressure setups that could clear skies and drop temperatures further if dew points fall or wind speeds remain below 5 km/h. Key differentiating variables include forecast cloud cover, which traps heat and raises minima by 2–4°C, versus drier air masses that enhance surface heat loss; recent model runs show modest variability in these parameters over the next 48 hours, keeping the 13–16°C range tightly bunched at 35–36% while capping warmer outcomes below 12%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$859Date de fin
22 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office and ECMWF guidance for London on July 22 project a nighttime minimum near 16°C under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with July climatology of 13–15°C lows. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns 45% to 12°C or below, reflecting notable ensemble spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potential high-pressure setups that could clear skies and drop temperatures further if dew points fall or wind speeds remain below 5 km/h. Key differentiating variables include forecast cloud cover, which traps heat and raises minima by 2–4°C, versus drier air masses that enhance surface heat loss; recent model runs show modest variability in these parameters over the next 48 hours, keeping the 13–16°C range tightly bunched at 35–36% while capping warmer outcomes below 12%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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