Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate overnight lows for New York City on July 6 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, with the market's tight spread across 66–71°F bins reflecting modest ensemble disagreement on cloud cover and wind. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling toward the 66–69°F range, while increased humidity or a marine layer from the Atlantic could limit drops near 70–71°F. Urban heat island effects in Manhattan add a few degrees of variability compared to Central Park observations, and any late-day frontal approach could shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs tomorrow will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLowest temperature in NYC on July 6?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 6?
64-65°F 24%
66-67°F 23%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 juil. 2026
59°F or below
2%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 24%
66-67°F 23%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 juil. 2026
59°F or below
$2,039 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$1,472 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$1,006 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$391 Vol.
24%
66-67°F
$494 Vol.
23%
68-69°F
$1,548 Vol.
22%
70-71°F
$136 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$332 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$532 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$405 Vol.
1%
78°F or higher
$332 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate overnight lows for New York City on July 6 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, with the market's tight spread across 66–71°F bins reflecting modest ensemble disagreement on cloud cover and wind. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling toward the 66–69°F range, while increased humidity or a marine layer from the Atlantic could limit drops near 70–71°F. Urban heat island effects in Manhattan add a few degrees of variability compared to Central Park observations, and any late-day frontal approach could shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs tomorrow will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$8,687Date de fin
6 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate overnight lows for New York City on July 6 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, with the market's tight spread across 66–71°F bins reflecting modest ensemble disagreement on cloud cover and wind. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling toward the 66–69°F range, while increased humidity or a marine layer from the Atlantic could limit drops near 70–71°F. Urban heat island effects in Manhattan add a few degrees of variability compared to Central Park observations, and any late-day frontal approach could shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs tomorrow will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,687Date de fin
6 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate overnight lows for New York City on July 6 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, with the market's tight spread across 66–71°F bins reflecting modest ensemble disagreement on cloud cover and wind. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling toward the 66–69°F range, while increased humidity or a marine layer from the Atlantic could limit drops near 70–71°F. Urban heat island effects in Manhattan add a few degrees of variability compared to Central Park observations, and any late-day frontal approach could shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs tomorrow will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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