**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate an overnight low of 16–17°C for Paris on August 30, 2026, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring those two outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover and a mild southwesterly flow are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the long-term August 30 average low of ~13.4°C. Models show partly to mostly cloudy skies overnight with light winds (generally under 10–15 km/h) and only isolated or light precipitation possible, conditions that typically support lows in the mid-16°C range rather than sharper drops under clear skies. The broader late-August pattern features a shift from earlier heat (with highs exceeding 35°C mid-month) to more typical or slightly above-average conditions under oceanic influence, with recent days recording morning lows around 15–17°C. This stable setup, without a strong cold advection event, underpins trader consensus around 16–17°C while assigning minimal probability to extremes outside that narrow band. Updated model runs or clearer-sky developments could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 30 août ?
17°C 65%
16°C 34%
18°C 4%
21°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
12°C ou moins
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
34%
17°C
65%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou plus
<1%
17°C 65%
16°C 34%
18°C 4%
21°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
12°C ou moins
$225 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$243 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$696 Vol.
34%
17°C
$1,082 Vol.
65%
18°C
$220 Vol.
4%
19°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou plus
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate an overnight low of 16–17°C for Paris on August 30, 2026, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring those two outcomes.**
Persistent cloud cover and a mild southwesterly flow are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the long-term August 30 average low of ~13.4°C. Models show partly to mostly cloudy skies overnight with light winds (generally under 10–15 km/h) and only isolated or light precipitation possible, conditions that typically support lows in the mid-16°C range rather than sharper drops under clear skies.
The broader late-August pattern features a shift from earlier heat (with highs exceeding 35°C mid-month) to more typical or slightly above-average conditions under oceanic influence, with recent days recording morning lows around 15–17°C. This stable setup, without a strong cold advection event, underpins trader consensus around 16–17°C while assigning minimal probability to extremes outside that narrow band. Updated model runs or clearer-sky developments could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,698Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate an overnight low of 16–17°C for Paris on August 30, 2026, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring those two outcomes.**
Persistent cloud cover and a mild southwesterly flow are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the long-term August 30 average low of ~13.4°C. Models show partly to mostly cloudy skies overnight with light winds (generally under 10–15 km/h) and only isolated or light precipitation possible, conditions that typically support lows in the mid-16°C range rather than sharper drops under clear skies.
The broader late-August pattern features a shift from earlier heat (with highs exceeding 35°C mid-month) to more typical or slightly above-average conditions under oceanic influence, with recent days recording morning lows around 15–17°C. This stable setup, without a strong cold advection event, underpins trader consensus around 16–17°C while assigning minimal probability to extremes outside that narrow band. Updated model runs or clearer-sky developments could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,698Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate an overnight low of 16–17°C for Paris on August 30, 2026, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring those two outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover and a mild southwesterly flow are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the long-term August 30 average low of ~13.4°C. Models show partly to mostly cloudy skies overnight with light winds (generally under 10–15 km/h) and only isolated or light precipitation possible, conditions that typically support lows in the mid-16°C range rather than sharper drops under clear skies. The broader late-August pattern features a shift from earlier heat (with highs exceeding 35°C mid-month) to more typical or slightly above-average conditions under oceanic influence, with recent days recording morning lows around 15–17°C. This stable setup, without a strong cold advection event, underpins trader consensus around 16–17°C while assigning minimal probability to extremes outside that narrow band. Updated model runs or clearer-sky developments could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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