Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 31 will likely fall in the 14–17°C range, with trader emphasis on 16–17°C reflecting model consensus on overnight lows amid southwest flow and variable cloud cover. A passing frontal system has maintained mild maritime air and limited radiative cooling, while light winds (10–20 km/h) and partial clearing overnight could allow brief drops toward 14–15°C in clearer pockets. Historical August 31 averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions remain several degrees above normal due to persistent warmer-than-average patterns. Key uncertainties center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 31 août ?
17°C 49%
16°C 41%
14°C 16%
15°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
12°C ou moins
11%
13°C
15%
14°C
16%
15°C
16%
16°C
41%
17°C
49%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C ou plus
15%
17°C 49%
16°C 41%
14°C 16%
15°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
12°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
11%
13°C
$0 Vol.
15%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C
$0 Vol.
16%
16°C
$16 Vol.
41%
17°C
$4 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
16%
19°C
$0 Vol.
15%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 31 will likely fall in the 14–17°C range, with trader emphasis on 16–17°C reflecting model consensus on overnight lows amid southwest flow and variable cloud cover. A passing frontal system has maintained mild maritime air and limited radiative cooling, while light winds (10–20 km/h) and partial clearing overnight could allow brief drops toward 14–15°C in clearer pockets. Historical August 31 averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions remain several degrees above normal due to persistent warmer-than-average patterns. Key uncertainties center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$20Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 31 will likely fall in the 14–17°C range, with trader emphasis on 16–17°C reflecting model consensus on overnight lows amid southwest flow and variable cloud cover. A passing frontal system has maintained mild maritime air and limited radiative cooling, while light winds (10–20 km/h) and partial clearing overnight could allow brief drops toward 14–15°C in clearer pockets. Historical August 31 averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions remain several degrees above normal due to persistent warmer-than-average patterns. Key uncertainties center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 31 will likely fall in the 14–17°C range, with trader emphasis on 16–17°C reflecting model consensus on overnight lows amid southwest flow and variable cloud cover. A passing frontal system has maintained mild maritime air and limited radiative cooling, while light winds (10–20 km/h) and partial clearing overnight could allow brief drops toward 14–15°C in clearer pockets. Historical August 31 averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions remain several degrees above normal due to persistent warmer-than-average patterns. Key uncertainties center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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