Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show a warm air mass advecting into the Chicago area behind a passing front, with southwest winds of 10-15 mph supporting highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s on August 31. This positions 88-91°F bins as the market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, limited shower chances (20-30%), and slight model spread on peak mixing. Historical late-August averages near 81°F provide context for the above-normal warmth, while humidity and potential afternoon clearing could tip the daily maximum toward 90°F or hold it just below. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will likely refine trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 31 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 31 août ?
90-91 °F 34%
88-89 °F 31%
86-87°F 14%
92-93°F 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
81°F ou moins
1%
82-83 °F
2%
84-85 °F
3%
86-87°F
14%
88-89 °F
31%
90-91 °F
34%
92-93°F
14%
94-95 °F
5%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F ou plus
<1%
90-91 °F 34%
88-89 °F 31%
86-87°F 14%
92-93°F 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
81°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
82-83 °F
$0 Vol.
2%
84-85 °F
$0 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
14%
88-89 °F
$0 Vol.
31%
90-91 °F
$1,082 Vol.
34%
92-93°F
$147 Vol.
14%
94-95 °F
$17 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
100°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show a warm air mass advecting into the Chicago area behind a passing front, with southwest winds of 10-15 mph supporting highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s on August 31. This positions 88-91°F bins as the market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, limited shower chances (20-30%), and slight model spread on peak mixing. Historical late-August averages near 81°F provide context for the above-normal warmth, while humidity and potential afternoon clearing could tip the daily maximum toward 90°F or hold it just below. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will likely refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,246Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show a warm air mass advecting into the Chicago area behind a passing front, with southwest winds of 10-15 mph supporting highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s on August 31. This positions 88-91°F bins as the market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, limited shower chances (20-30%), and slight model spread on peak mixing. Historical late-August averages near 81°F provide context for the above-normal warmth, while humidity and potential afternoon clearing could tip the daily maximum toward 90°F or hold it just below. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will likely refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,246Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show a warm air mass advecting into the Chicago area behind a passing front, with southwest winds of 10-15 mph supporting highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s on August 31. This positions 88-91°F bins as the market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, limited shower chances (20-30%), and slight model spread on peak mixing. Historical late-August averages near 81°F provide context for the above-normal warmth, while humidity and potential afternoon clearing could tip the daily maximum toward 90°F or hold it just below. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will likely refine trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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