Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models points to a mild overnight period for Toronto on August 31, with the daily minimum expected near 19–20 °C amid a mix of sun and cloud, 30–40 % shower chances, and light easterly to southeasterly flow. This pattern, sustained by above-average warmth and humidity through the final weekend of August, has elevated the implied probability for a minimum of 23 °C or higher while compressing odds on colder outcomes such as 13 °C or below. Historical climatology shows a normal low near 16 °C, so the current consensus reflects a warmer-than-average regime that traders are weighting heavily. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Toronto le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse à Toronto le 31 août ?
23°C ou plus 94%
13°C ou moins 59%
16°C 48%
22°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
13°C ou moins
59%
14°C
16%
15°C
43%
16°C
48%
17°C
31%
18°C
24%
19°C
26%
20°C
24%
21°C
37%
22°C
48%
23°C ou plus
94%
23°C ou plus 94%
13°C ou moins 59%
16°C 48%
22°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
13°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
59%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C
$0 Vol.
43%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
24%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
24%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
48%
23°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models points to a mild overnight period for Toronto on August 31, with the daily minimum expected near 19–20 °C amid a mix of sun and cloud, 30–40 % shower chances, and light easterly to southeasterly flow. This pattern, sustained by above-average warmth and humidity through the final weekend of August, has elevated the implied probability for a minimum of 23 °C or higher while compressing odds on colder outcomes such as 13 °C or below. Historical climatology shows a normal low near 16 °C, so the current consensus reflects a warmer-than-average regime that traders are weighting heavily. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models points to a mild overnight period for Toronto on August 31, with the daily minimum expected near 19–20 °C amid a mix of sun and cloud, 30–40 % shower chances, and light easterly to southeasterly flow. This pattern, sustained by above-average warmth and humidity through the final weekend of August, has elevated the implied probability for a minimum of 23 °C or higher while compressing odds on colder outcomes such as 13 °C or below. Historical climatology shows a normal low near 16 °C, so the current consensus reflects a warmer-than-average regime that traders are weighting heavily. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models points to a mild overnight period for Toronto on August 31, with the daily minimum expected near 19–20 °C amid a mix of sun and cloud, 30–40 % shower chances, and light easterly to southeasterly flow. This pattern, sustained by above-average warmth and humidity through the final weekend of August, has elevated the implied probability for a minimum of 23 °C or higher while compressing odds on colder outcomes such as 13 °C or below. Historical climatology shows a normal low near 16 °C, so the current consensus reflects a warmer-than-average regime that traders are weighting heavily. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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