Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF-influenced runs points to a maximum of 21–23 °C in Amsterdam on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate southwesterly winds. This represents a notable cooling from the 27–29 °C peaks observed on August 27, driven by an influx of milder Atlantic air that increases cloud cover and precipitation chances, limiting solar heating. Market-implied odds favor 22 °C (40 %) and 23 °C (27.5 %) because these values align closely with the central tendency of short-range guidance, while the spread to 21 °C (22.5 %) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to shift probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 29 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 29 août ?
22°C 40%
23°C 28%
21°C 23%
19°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
5%
21°C
23%
22°C
40%
23°C
28%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C ou plus
1%
22°C 40%
23°C 28%
21°C 23%
19°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
17°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
7%
20°C
$217 Vol.
5%
21°C
$36 Vol.
23%
22°C
$117 Vol.
40%
23°C
$22 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF-influenced runs points to a maximum of 21–23 °C in Amsterdam on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate southwesterly winds. This represents a notable cooling from the 27–29 °C peaks observed on August 27, driven by an influx of milder Atlantic air that increases cloud cover and precipitation chances, limiting solar heating. Market-implied odds favor 22 °C (40 %) and 23 °C (27.5 %) because these values align closely with the central tendency of short-range guidance, while the spread to 21 °C (22.5 %) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$396Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF-influenced runs points to a maximum of 21–23 °C in Amsterdam on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate southwesterly winds. This represents a notable cooling from the 27–29 °C peaks observed on August 27, driven by an influx of milder Atlantic air that increases cloud cover and precipitation chances, limiting solar heating. Market-implied odds favor 22 °C (40 %) and 23 °C (27.5 %) because these values align closely with the central tendency of short-range guidance, while the spread to 21 °C (22.5 %) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$396Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF-influenced runs points to a maximum of 21–23 °C in Amsterdam on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate southwesterly winds. This represents a notable cooling from the 27–29 °C peaks observed on August 27, driven by an influx of milder Atlantic air that increases cloud cover and precipitation chances, limiting solar heating. Market-implied odds favor 22 °C (40 %) and 23 °C (27.5 %) because these values align closely with the central tendency of short-range guidance, while the spread to 21 °C (22.5 %) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to shift probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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