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icon for La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 27 août ?

La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 27 août ?

icon for La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 27 août ?

La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 27 août ?

26°C 100.0%

22°C or below <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$35,782 Vol.

26°C 100.0%

22°C or below <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$35,782 Vol.

22°C or below

$204 Vol.

No

23°C

$2,565 Vol.

No

24°C

$2,140 Vol.

No

25°C

$6,298 Vol.

No

26°C

$14,239 Vol.

Yes

27°C

$6,809 Vol.

No

28°C

$2,395 Vol.

No

29°C

$272 Vol.

No

30°C

$269 Vol.

No

31°C

$171 Vol.

No

32°C or higher

$420 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 27, 2026, reflects verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and consistent meteorological reporting.** Official forecasts issued the prior evening projected a daily minimum of 26°C under a low-pressure trough and active southerly flow, which brought periods of heavy showers, thunderstorms, and high cloud cover that limited overnight radiative cooling. Hourly records beginning around 10 a.m. on the 27th showed temperatures already in the upper 20s (e.g., 27.9–28.5°C), consistent with an overnight low near 26°C rather than the lower or higher brackets in the market. This outcome aligns with typical late-August climatology in Hong Kong (climatological daily minima near 25–26°C) and the influence of persistent moisture and cloudiness from the regional weather pattern, which prevented both greater cooling and significant daytime heating beyond the observed 31°C high. Multiple independent weather summaries and HKO-linked data feeds corroborated the same 26°C floor. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the result are a post-event revision to HKO station data (for example, a single urban or airport sensor recording 25°C or 27°C due to localized effects) or an official clarification on the precise measurement window or station used for market resolution. With the date now passed and broad agreement across official and secondary sources, such adjustments remain low-probability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,782
Date de fin
27 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 27, 2026, reflects verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and consistent meteorological reporting.** Official forecasts issued the prior evening projected a daily minimum of 26°C under a low-pressure trough and active southerly flow, which brought periods of heavy showers, thunderstorms, and high cloud cover that limited overnight radiative cooling. Hourly records beginning around 10 a.m. on the 27th showed temperatures already in the upper 20s (e.g., 27.9–28.5°C), consistent with an overnight low near 26°C rather than the lower or higher brackets in the market. This outcome aligns with typical late-August climatology in Hong Kong (climatological daily minima near 25–26°C) and the influence of persistent moisture and cloudiness from the regional weather pattern, which prevented both greater cooling and significant daytime heating beyond the observed 31°C high. Multiple independent weather summaries and HKO-linked data feeds corroborated the same 26°C floor. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the result are a post-event revision to HKO station data (for example, a single urban or airport sensor recording 25°C or 27°C due to localized effects) or an official clarification on the precise measurement window or station used for market resolution. With the date now passed and broad agreement across official and secondary sources, such adjustments remain low-probability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,782
Date de fin
27 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 27 août ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 26°C » à 100%, suivi de « 22°C or below » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 27 août ? » a généré $35.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 25, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 27 août ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 27 août ? » est « 26°C » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 22°C or below » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 27 août ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.