Recent model consensus and official guidance indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 30–32 °C, with showers and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 80–90 %, and afternoon convective activity typically cap maxima by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with observed highs of 30–33 °C amid frequent rain. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around 30–32 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in forecast timing and intensity of precipitation, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C depending on cloud persistence and steering flow from the South China Sea. New model runs and updated guidance ahead of the date remain key variables for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 30 août ?
31°C 32%
32°C 22%
30°C 19%
33°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
19%
31°C
32%
32°C
22%
33°C
10%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
32°C 22%
30°C 19%
33°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
25°C or below
$87 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$291 Vol.
1%
28°C
$161 Vol.
3%
29°C
$284 Vol.
9%
30°C
$223 Vol.
19%
31°C
$223 Vol.
32%
32°C
$474 Vol.
22%
33°C
$251 Vol.
10%
34°C
$145 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$47 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 30–32 °C, with showers and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 80–90 %, and afternoon convective activity typically cap maxima by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with observed highs of 30–33 °C amid frequent rain. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around 30–32 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in forecast timing and intensity of precipitation, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C depending on cloud persistence and steering flow from the South China Sea. New model runs and updated guidance ahead of the date remain key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,268Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 30–32 °C, with showers and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 80–90 %, and afternoon convective activity typically cap maxima by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with observed highs of 30–33 °C amid frequent rain. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around 30–32 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in forecast timing and intensity of precipitation, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C depending on cloud persistence and steering flow from the South China Sea. New model runs and updated guidance ahead of the date remain key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,268Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and official guidance indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 30–32 °C, with showers and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 80–90 %, and afternoon convective activity typically cap maxima by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with observed highs of 30–33 °C amid frequent rain. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around 30–32 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in forecast timing and intensity of precipitation, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C depending on cloud persistence and steering flow from the South China Sea. New model runs and updated guidance ahead of the date remain key variables for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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