Recent model consensus for Mexico City’s August 30 maximum points to 23–25 °C, with the tight 24 °C (42 %) versus 25 °C (38.5 %) split reflecting small differences in afternoon cloud cover and convective timing. At 2,240 m elevation, insolation is strong but moderated by the North American monsoon’s moisture, which favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that can cap temperatures 1–2 °C below clear-sky potential. Latest runs show varying amounts of mid-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing; drier or later-developing convection allows brief warming to 25 °C, while earlier or heavier rain keeps readings near 23 °C. Historical late-August averages hover near 23 °C, and traders are weighting the latest GFS/ECMWF guidance against observed dew-point trends and surface pressure gradients that will determine whether the peak occurs before or after midday convection. Updated model cycles and observational soundings over the next 12–18 hours remain the key near-term drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 30 août ?
24°C 42%
25°C 39%
23°C 10%
26°C ou plus 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
42%
25°C
39%
26°C ou plus
9%
24°C 42%
25°C 39%
23°C 10%
26°C ou plus 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
16°C ou moins
$163 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$206 Vol.
1%
21°C
$113 Vol.
2%
22°C
$17 Vol.
4%
23°C
$116 Vol.
10%
24°C
$139 Vol.
42%
25°C
$232 Vol.
39%
26°C ou plus
$70 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Mexico City’s August 30 maximum points to 23–25 °C, with the tight 24 °C (42 %) versus 25 °C (38.5 %) split reflecting small differences in afternoon cloud cover and convective timing. At 2,240 m elevation, insolation is strong but moderated by the North American monsoon’s moisture, which favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that can cap temperatures 1–2 °C below clear-sky potential. Latest runs show varying amounts of mid-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing; drier or later-developing convection allows brief warming to 25 °C, while earlier or heavier rain keeps readings near 23 °C. Historical late-August averages hover near 23 °C, and traders are weighting the latest GFS/ECMWF guidance against observed dew-point trends and surface pressure gradients that will determine whether the peak occurs before or after midday convection. Updated model cycles and observational soundings over the next 12–18 hours remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,552Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Mexico City’s August 30 maximum points to 23–25 °C, with the tight 24 °C (42 %) versus 25 °C (38.5 %) split reflecting small differences in afternoon cloud cover and convective timing. At 2,240 m elevation, insolation is strong but moderated by the North American monsoon’s moisture, which favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that can cap temperatures 1–2 °C below clear-sky potential. Latest runs show varying amounts of mid-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing; drier or later-developing convection allows brief warming to 25 °C, while earlier or heavier rain keeps readings near 23 °C. Historical late-August averages hover near 23 °C, and traders are weighting the latest GFS/ECMWF guidance against observed dew-point trends and surface pressure gradients that will determine whether the peak occurs before or after midday convection. Updated model cycles and observational soundings over the next 12–18 hours remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,552Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for Mexico City’s August 30 maximum points to 23–25 °C, with the tight 24 °C (42 %) versus 25 °C (38.5 %) split reflecting small differences in afternoon cloud cover and convective timing. At 2,240 m elevation, insolation is strong but moderated by the North American monsoon’s moisture, which favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that can cap temperatures 1–2 °C below clear-sky potential. Latest runs show varying amounts of mid-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing; drier or later-developing convection allows brief warming to 25 °C, while earlier or heavier rain keeps readings near 23 °C. Historical late-August averages hover near 23 °C, and traders are weighting the latest GFS/ECMWF guidance against observed dew-point trends and surface pressure gradients that will determine whether the peak occurs before or after midday convection. Updated model cycles and observational soundings over the next 12–18 hours remain the key near-term drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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