**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, centers on the 84–85°F bin (54% implied probability), with meaningful support for 82–83°F and 86–87°F (each at 21.5%).** This distribution aligns with official forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service and WeatherBug, which project a sunny day with highs in the mid-80s to mid-90s under typical late-August marine-layer moderation and onshore southwest flow. Clear skies and moderate winds (around 10–15 mph) are expected to allow daytime heating without extreme amplification, while coastal proximity and the marine layer limit further warming. Historical context reinforces this range: the long-term average high is 77°F, with recent August 29 readings commonly falling between 74°F and 85°F. No major heat-wave signals or forecast shifts appear in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around mid-80s values and reflecting trader consensus on stable atmospheric conditions rather than outlier scenarios.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 29 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 29 août ?
84-85°F 57%
30-30,5°C 25%
82-83°F 15%
88-89°F 3%
NOUVEAU
$10,497 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,497 Vol.
29 août 2026
73°F ou moins
<1%
74-75 °F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79 °F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
57%
30-30,5°C
25%
88-89°F
3%
90-91 °F
1%
92°F ou plus
<1%
84-85°F 57%
30-30,5°C 25%
82-83°F 15%
88-89°F 3%
NOUVEAU
$10,497 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,497 Vol.
29 août 2026
73°F ou moins
$266 Vol.
<1%
74-75 °F
$420 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$365 Vol.
<1%
78-79 °F
$91 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$550 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$3,291 Vol.
15%
84-85°F
$3,271 Vol.
57%
30-30,5°C
$1,372 Vol.
25%
88-89°F
$200 Vol.
3%
90-91 °F
$102 Vol.
1%
92°F ou plus
$569 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, centers on the 84–85°F bin (54% implied probability), with meaningful support for 82–83°F and 86–87°F (each at 21.5%).** This distribution aligns with official forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service and WeatherBug, which project a sunny day with highs in the mid-80s to mid-90s under typical late-August marine-layer moderation and onshore southwest flow.
Clear skies and moderate winds (around 10–15 mph) are expected to allow daytime heating without extreme amplification, while coastal proximity and the marine layer limit further warming. Historical context reinforces this range: the long-term average high is 77°F, with recent August 29 readings commonly falling between 74°F and 85°F.
No major heat-wave signals or forecast shifts appear in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around mid-80s values and reflecting trader consensus on stable atmospheric conditions rather than outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$10,497Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, centers on the 84–85°F bin (54% implied probability), with meaningful support for 82–83°F and 86–87°F (each at 21.5%).** This distribution aligns with official forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service and WeatherBug, which project a sunny day with highs in the mid-80s to mid-90s under typical late-August marine-layer moderation and onshore southwest flow.
Clear skies and moderate winds (around 10–15 mph) are expected to allow daytime heating without extreme amplification, while coastal proximity and the marine layer limit further warming. Historical context reinforces this range: the long-term average high is 77°F, with recent August 29 readings commonly falling between 74°F and 85°F.
No major heat-wave signals or forecast shifts appear in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around mid-80s values and reflecting trader consensus on stable atmospheric conditions rather than outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,497Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, centers on the 84–85°F bin (54% implied probability), with meaningful support for 82–83°F and 86–87°F (each at 21.5%).** This distribution aligns with official forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service and WeatherBug, which project a sunny day with highs in the mid-80s to mid-90s under typical late-August marine-layer moderation and onshore southwest flow. Clear skies and moderate winds (around 10–15 mph) are expected to allow daytime heating without extreme amplification, while coastal proximity and the marine layer limit further warming. Historical context reinforces this range: the long-term average high is 77°F, with recent August 29 readings commonly falling between 74°F and 85°F. No major heat-wave signals or forecast shifts appear in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around mid-80s values and reflecting trader consensus on stable atmospheric conditions rather than outlier scenarios.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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