Persistent upper-level high pressure centered over Oklahoma and North Texas sustains hot, dry conditions with minimal cloud cover and south winds of 5-10 mph, driving trader sentiment toward the 100-101°F bin at 34% implied probability. Official NWS point forecasts for Dallas on August 31 center on highs near 100-101°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with recent model runs showing the ridge holding through early September and yielding above-normal temperatures amid deepening drought. Slight differences among the leading bins (98-99°F at 30.5%, 102-103°F at 19%) hinge on minor variations in daytime heating efficiency, potential thin high clouds, or exact timing of peak insolation, while historical August 31 averages near 94°F underscore the current anomaly without record-challenging extremes. Updated guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 31 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 31 août ?
100-101 °F 39%
98-99°F 31%
104-105°F 19%
102-103°F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
89°F ou moins
<1%
90-91 °F
<1%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
7%
96-97 °F
10%
98-99°F
31%
100-101 °F
34%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
19%
106-107°F
6%
108°F ou plus
6%
100-101 °F 39%
98-99°F 31%
104-105°F 19%
102-103°F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
89°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
90-91 °F
$0 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
7%
96-97 °F
$0 Vol.
10%
98-99°F
$532 Vol.
31%
100-101 °F
$11 Vol.
34%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
19%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
19%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
6%
108°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level high pressure centered over Oklahoma and North Texas sustains hot, dry conditions with minimal cloud cover and south winds of 5-10 mph, driving trader sentiment toward the 100-101°F bin at 34% implied probability. Official NWS point forecasts for Dallas on August 31 center on highs near 100-101°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with recent model runs showing the ridge holding through early September and yielding above-normal temperatures amid deepening drought. Slight differences among the leading bins (98-99°F at 30.5%, 102-103°F at 19%) hinge on minor variations in daytime heating efficiency, potential thin high clouds, or exact timing of peak insolation, while historical August 31 averages near 94°F underscore the current anomaly without record-challenging extremes. Updated guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$543Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level high pressure centered over Oklahoma and North Texas sustains hot, dry conditions with minimal cloud cover and south winds of 5-10 mph, driving trader sentiment toward the 100-101°F bin at 34% implied probability. Official NWS point forecasts for Dallas on August 31 center on highs near 100-101°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with recent model runs showing the ridge holding through early September and yielding above-normal temperatures amid deepening drought. Slight differences among the leading bins (98-99°F at 30.5%, 102-103°F at 19%) hinge on minor variations in daytime heating efficiency, potential thin high clouds, or exact timing of peak insolation, while historical August 31 averages near 94°F underscore the current anomaly without record-challenging extremes. Updated guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$543Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent upper-level high pressure centered over Oklahoma and North Texas sustains hot, dry conditions with minimal cloud cover and south winds of 5-10 mph, driving trader sentiment toward the 100-101°F bin at 34% implied probability. Official NWS point forecasts for Dallas on August 31 center on highs near 100-101°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with recent model runs showing the ridge holding through early September and yielding above-normal temperatures amid deepening drought. Slight differences among the leading bins (98-99°F at 30.5%, 102-103°F at 19%) hinge on minor variations in daytime heating efficiency, potential thin high clouds, or exact timing of peak insolation, while historical August 31 averages near 94°F underscore the current anomaly without record-challenging extremes. Updated guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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