Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 most likely between 18–20°C, driven by a lingering warm, dry air mass suppressing radiative cooling overnight. Clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–70% limit further temperature drops, while the city's urban heat island effect adds 1–2°C compared to rural surroundings. Trader consensus clusters near 17–19°C because ensemble guidance shows modest uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates, with any increase in cloud cover or wind speed potentially holding the low above 20°C and clearer, calmer conditions allowing it to dip to 17°C or lower. Historical late-August averages near 16–18°C provide context, but the current anomalous warmth shifts probabilities accordingly ahead of an expected frontal passage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 31 août ?
17°C ou moins 36%
18°C 31%
19°C 31%
20°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
17°C ou moins
36%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
27%
21°C
21%
22°C
26%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C ou plus
1%
17°C ou moins 36%
18°C 31%
19°C 31%
20°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
17°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
36%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$6 Vol.
26%
23°C
$220 Vol.
1%
24°C
$145 Vol.
5%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$85 Vol.
1%
27°C ou plus
$111 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 most likely between 18–20°C, driven by a lingering warm, dry air mass suppressing radiative cooling overnight. Clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–70% limit further temperature drops, while the city's urban heat island effect adds 1–2°C compared to rural surroundings. Trader consensus clusters near 17–19°C because ensemble guidance shows modest uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates, with any increase in cloud cover or wind speed potentially holding the low above 20°C and clearer, calmer conditions allowing it to dip to 17°C or lower. Historical late-August averages near 16–18°C provide context, but the current anomalous warmth shifts probabilities accordingly ahead of an expected frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$572Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 most likely between 18–20°C, driven by a lingering warm, dry air mass suppressing radiative cooling overnight. Clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–70% limit further temperature drops, while the city's urban heat island effect adds 1–2°C compared to rural surroundings. Trader consensus clusters near 17–19°C because ensemble guidance shows modest uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates, with any increase in cloud cover or wind speed potentially holding the low above 20°C and clearer, calmer conditions allowing it to dip to 17°C or lower. Historical late-August averages near 16–18°C provide context, but the current anomalous warmth shifts probabilities accordingly ahead of an expected frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$572Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 most likely between 18–20°C, driven by a lingering warm, dry air mass suppressing radiative cooling overnight. Clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–70% limit further temperature drops, while the city's urban heat island effect adds 1–2°C compared to rural surroundings. Trader consensus clusters near 17–19°C because ensemble guidance shows modest uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates, with any increase in cloud cover or wind speed potentially holding the low above 20°C and clearer, calmer conditions allowing it to dip to 17°C or lower. Historical late-August averages near 16–18°C provide context, but the current anomalous warmth shifts probabilities accordingly ahead of an expected frontal passage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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