Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a humid late-summer pattern over the Northeast with southwest flow and periods of cloud cover and showers on September 1, keeping daytime highs centered in the mid-to-upper 80s. Official forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug highlight a 87 °F peak amid 70 % storm chances and elevated dew points, while other runs cluster between 82–84 °F depending on the timing and coverage of precipitation. These conditions create tight uncertainty around the daily maximum, with small differences in cloud timing or convective development able to shift the observed high across the 84–87 °F range that currently holds the largest market-implied probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à New York le 1er septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à New York le 1er septembre ?
84-85°F 35%
88-89 °F 29%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
73°F ou moins
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77 °F
10%
78-79°F
15%
80-81 °F
20%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
26%
88-89 °F
29%
90-91°F
19%
92°F ou plus
10%
84-85°F 35%
88-89 °F 29%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
73°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76-77 °F
$0 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
15%
80-81 °F
$0 Vol.
20%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
27%
84-85°F
$14 Vol.
22%
86-87°F
$33 Vol.
26%
88-89 °F
$0 Vol.
29%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
19%
92°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a humid late-summer pattern over the Northeast with southwest flow and periods of cloud cover and showers on September 1, keeping daytime highs centered in the mid-to-upper 80s. Official forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug highlight a 87 °F peak amid 70 % storm chances and elevated dew points, while other runs cluster between 82–84 °F depending on the timing and coverage of precipitation. These conditions create tight uncertainty around the daily maximum, with small differences in cloud timing or convective development able to shift the observed high across the 84–87 °F range that currently holds the largest market-implied probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$48Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a humid late-summer pattern over the Northeast with southwest flow and periods of cloud cover and showers on September 1, keeping daytime highs centered in the mid-to-upper 80s. Official forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug highlight a 87 °F peak amid 70 % storm chances and elevated dew points, while other runs cluster between 82–84 °F depending on the timing and coverage of precipitation. These conditions create tight uncertainty around the daily maximum, with small differences in cloud timing or convective development able to shift the observed high across the 84–87 °F range that currently holds the largest market-implied probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a humid late-summer pattern over the Northeast with southwest flow and periods of cloud cover and showers on September 1, keeping daytime highs centered in the mid-to-upper 80s. Official forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug highlight a 87 °F peak amid 70 % storm chances and elevated dew points, while other runs cluster between 82–84 °F depending on the timing and coverage of precipitation. These conditions create tight uncertainty around the daily maximum, with small differences in cloud timing or convective development able to shift the observed high across the 84–87 °F range that currently holds the largest market-implied probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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