Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain across Guangzhou on August 30, which limits surface heating and keeps maximum temperatures near or slightly below the 33 °C climatological average. Consensus guidance clusters the daily high in the 30–32 °C range, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 34 °C. Persistent moisture from the monsoon trough and weak steering flow favor organized convection that tends to cap peaks, creating tight implied probabilities between 31 °C and 34 °C. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify the timing and intensity of precipitation, the key variable that will determine the exact daily maximum recorded at official stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 30 août ?
33°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 16%
34°C 15%
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
16%
32°C
22%
33°C
25%
34°C
15%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 16%
34°C 15%
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
16%
32°C
22%
33°C
25%
34°C
15%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain across Guangzhou on August 30, which limits surface heating and keeps maximum temperatures near or slightly below the 33 °C climatological average. Consensus guidance clusters the daily high in the 30–32 °C range, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 34 °C. Persistent moisture from the monsoon trough and weak steering flow favor organized convection that tends to cap peaks, creating tight implied probabilities between 31 °C and 34 °C. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify the timing and intensity of precipitation, the key variable that will determine the exact daily maximum recorded at official stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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