**Recent typhoon-related circulation is the dominant driver**, bringing expected rainfall and moderating temperatures across Wuhan on August 30. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daytime high in the 30–34°C range amid overcast skies, scattered to moderate rain, and northerly winds, following several days of 35–38°C heat. Model consensus points to reduced solar heating from cloud cover, evaporative cooling during precipitation, and cooler air advection as the key factors capping the maximum. This uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity explains the tight market clustering on 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with traders weighing how much the transition will suppress readings relative to the preceding heatwave. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will further refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 30 août ?
32°C 28%
33°C 20%
31°C 18%
34°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
7%
30°C
6%
31°C
18%
32°C
28%
33°C
31%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 28%
33°C 20%
31°C 18%
34°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C
$0 Vol.
18%
32°C
$0 Vol.
28%
33°C
$30 Vol.
31%
34°C
$33 Vol.
14%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent typhoon-related circulation is the dominant driver**, bringing expected rainfall and moderating temperatures across Wuhan on August 30. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daytime high in the 30–34°C range amid overcast skies, scattered to moderate rain, and northerly winds, following several days of 35–38°C heat. Model consensus points to reduced solar heating from cloud cover, evaporative cooling during precipitation, and cooler air advection as the key factors capping the maximum. This uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity explains the tight market clustering on 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with traders weighing how much the transition will suppress readings relative to the preceding heatwave. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$63Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent typhoon-related circulation is the dominant driver**, bringing expected rainfall and moderating temperatures across Wuhan on August 30. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daytime high in the 30–34°C range amid overcast skies, scattered to moderate rain, and northerly winds, following several days of 35–38°C heat. Model consensus points to reduced solar heating from cloud cover, evaporative cooling during precipitation, and cooler air advection as the key factors capping the maximum. This uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity explains the tight market clustering on 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with traders weighing how much the transition will suppress readings relative to the preceding heatwave. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent typhoon-related circulation is the dominant driver**, bringing expected rainfall and moderating temperatures across Wuhan on August 30. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daytime high in the 30–34°C range amid overcast skies, scattered to moderate rain, and northerly winds, following several days of 35–38°C heat. Model consensus points to reduced solar heating from cloud cover, evaporative cooling during precipitation, and cooler air advection as the key factors capping the maximum. This uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity explains the tight market clustering on 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with traders weighing how much the transition will suppress readings relative to the preceding heatwave. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will further refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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