Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and dry conditions on August 30, supporting a daily high in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid a gradual warming trend from late August's typical continental climate patterns. Recent runs project afternoon peaks near 32–33°C, consistent with seasonal baselines around 30°C and well below the 35.8°C record, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 57% implied probability while allowing modest upside to 34°C. Model consensus remains stable with minimal precipitation risk or cloud interference, though slight variations in wind or insolation could shift the exact maximum. Traders weigh these short-range updates against historical variability for the date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 30 août ?
33°C 57%
34°C 27%
32°C 18%
31°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
18%
33°C
57%
34°C
27%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
34°C 27%
32°C 18%
31°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
28°C or below
$24 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$35 Vol.
5%
32°C
$26 Vol.
18%
33°C
$256 Vol.
57%
34°C
$133 Vol.
27%
35°C
$40 Vol.
4%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$65 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and dry conditions on August 30, supporting a daily high in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid a gradual warming trend from late August's typical continental climate patterns. Recent runs project afternoon peaks near 32–33°C, consistent with seasonal baselines around 30°C and well below the 35.8°C record, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 57% implied probability while allowing modest upside to 34°C. Model consensus remains stable with minimal precipitation risk or cloud interference, though slight variations in wind or insolation could shift the exact maximum. Traders weigh these short-range updates against historical variability for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$574Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and dry conditions on August 30, supporting a daily high in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid a gradual warming trend from late August's typical continental climate patterns. Recent runs project afternoon peaks near 32–33°C, consistent with seasonal baselines around 30°C and well below the 35.8°C record, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 57% implied probability while allowing modest upside to 34°C. Model consensus remains stable with minimal precipitation risk or cloud interference, though slight variations in wind or insolation could shift the exact maximum. Traders weigh these short-range updates against historical variability for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$574Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and dry conditions on August 30, supporting a daily high in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid a gradual warming trend from late August's typical continental climate patterns. Recent runs project afternoon peaks near 32–33°C, consistent with seasonal baselines around 30°C and well below the 35.8°C record, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 57% implied probability while allowing modest upside to 34°C. Model consensus remains stable with minimal precipitation risk or cloud interference, though slight variations in wind or insolation could shift the exact maximum. Traders weigh these short-range updates against historical variability for the date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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