Latest ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and global models indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Karachi on August 30, driven by persistent west-southwesterly winds, haze, and increasing cloud cover that limit intense solar heating during the waning monsoon period. This aligns with typical late-August climatology near 30–32°C and recent observations showing stable conditions without heatwave signals or significant moisture influx. Model consensus narrows the range, though minor variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift the peak by 1°C. The market-implied odds heavily favor 30–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these near-term atmospheric patterns and limited upside potential from current steering flows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Karachi le 30 août ?
31°C 44%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
33°C 7%
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
28%
31°C
44%
32°C
17%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C ou plus
1%
31°C 44%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
33°C 7%
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
28%
31°C
44%
32°C
17%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and global models indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Karachi on August 30, driven by persistent west-southwesterly winds, haze, and increasing cloud cover that limit intense solar heating during the waning monsoon period. This aligns with typical late-August climatology near 30–32°C and recent observations showing stable conditions without heatwave signals or significant moisture influx. Model consensus narrows the range, though minor variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift the peak by 1°C. The market-implied odds heavily favor 30–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these near-term atmospheric patterns and limited upside potential from current steering flows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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