Recent official forecasts from Chongqing meteorological authorities indicate the highest temperature on August 28 will likely fall between 36–38°C amid a transition from persistent subtropical high pressure to increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, especially in southern and western districts. This stems from the weakening influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which has driven recent highs above 38°C through subsidence and clear skies, now moderated by peripheral easterly flow from typhoon remnants that promotes convection, higher humidity, and reduced solar insolation. Historical late-August averages near 31–34°C provide context, while basin topography and urban heat island effects can locally amplify readings by 1–3°C. Model consensus points to modest cooling from precipitation, though exact maxima hinge on the timing and coverage of afternoon convection ahead of market resolution.