Forecast models from the Met Office and GFS ensembles currently project London maximum temperatures of 25–27 °C for 26 August, with the tightest clustering around 26 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader consensus at 25–26 °C reflects the moderating influence of increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to develop through the day, which limit surface heating despite above-average late-summer insolation. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on small shifts in timing and coverage of convective activity: earlier or heavier rainfall would cap peaks near 25 °C, while delayed or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 27 °C reading. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 26 août ?
25°C 27%
26°C 26%
27°C 16%
24°C 11%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
11%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
16%
28°C
9%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 27%
26°C 26%
27°C 16%
24°C 11%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
11%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
16%
28°C
9%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and GFS ensembles currently project London maximum temperatures of 25–27 °C for 26 August, with the tightest clustering around 26 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader consensus at 25–26 °C reflects the moderating influence of increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to develop through the day, which limit surface heating despite above-average late-summer insolation. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on small shifts in timing and coverage of convective activity: earlier or heavier rainfall would cap peaks near 25 °C, while delayed or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 27 °C reading. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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