Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high near 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes amid 34% and 24% implied probabilities. Variable North Sea flow and possible light showers introduce modest uncertainty in maximum temperatures, as onshore winds can suppress peaks while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical August variability, with typical highs near 22°C but occasional excursions above 25°C under continental influence, underscores why traders spread bets across 23–26°C. Updated forecast runs and observational data on pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 26 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 26 août ?
25°C 34%
24°C 27%
23°C 14%
26°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
14%
24°C
27%
25°C
34%
26°C
14%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 34%
24°C 27%
23°C 14%
26°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
20°C or below
$25 Vol.
2%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$30 Vol.
6%
23°C
$101 Vol.
14%
24°C
$190 Vol.
27%
25°C
$41 Vol.
34%
26°C
$205 Vol.
14%
27°C
$20 Vol.
8%
28°C
$5 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high near 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes amid 34% and 24% implied probabilities. Variable North Sea flow and possible light showers introduce modest uncertainty in maximum temperatures, as onshore winds can suppress peaks while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical August variability, with typical highs near 22°C but occasional excursions above 25°C under continental influence, underscores why traders spread bets across 23–26°C. Updated forecast runs and observational data on pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$622Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high near 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes amid 34% and 24% implied probabilities. Variable North Sea flow and possible light showers introduce modest uncertainty in maximum temperatures, as onshore winds can suppress peaks while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical August variability, with typical highs near 22°C but occasional excursions above 25°C under continental influence, underscores why traders spread bets across 23–26°C. Updated forecast runs and observational data on pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$622Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high near 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes amid 34% and 24% implied probabilities. Variable North Sea flow and possible light showers introduce modest uncertainty in maximum temperatures, as onshore winds can suppress peaks while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical August variability, with typical highs near 22°C but occasional excursions above 25°C under continental influence, underscores why traders spread bets across 23–26°C. Updated forecast runs and observational data on pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes