Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate a high-pressure system dominating the region, with mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds expected to limit afternoon heating in Istanbul on August 26. This setup positions daytime maxima near 27–28°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs decline from early-month peaks. Updated model runs showing minimal cloud cover or moisture advection have reinforced trader consensus around these values, while cooler or hotter extremes remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and the proximity to resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 26 août ?
27°C 47%
28°C 34%
26°C 12%
29°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
47%
28°C
34%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
28°C 34%
26°C 12%
29°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
47%
28°C
34%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate a high-pressure system dominating the region, with mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds expected to limit afternoon heating in Istanbul on August 26. This setup positions daytime maxima near 27–28°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs decline from early-month peaks. Updated model runs showing minimal cloud cover or moisture advection have reinforced trader consensus around these values, while cooler or hotter extremes remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and the proximity to resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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