Current National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 26 under continued high pressure and south winds, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation chances supporting limited radiational cooling. This aligns with the heat wave's persistence, where recent model runs show only modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that could influence the exact minimum. Market-implied odds favoring 71°F or below at 46% likely incorporate historical August variability and any potential model spread for localized cooling, while the clustered probabilities around 74–81°F ranges reflect consensus on typical late-summer nocturnal temperatures near 78–80°F amid the elevated baseline. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Austin le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse à Austin le 26 août ?
82-83°F 49%
71°F or below 46%
74-75°F 26%
76-77°F 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
71°F or below
46%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
7%
82-83°F 49%
71°F or below 46%
74-75°F 26%
76-77°F 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
46%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
49%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
18%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
5%
90°F or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 26 under continued high pressure and south winds, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation chances supporting limited radiational cooling. This aligns with the heat wave's persistence, where recent model runs show only modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that could influence the exact minimum. Market-implied odds favoring 71°F or below at 46% likely incorporate historical August variability and any potential model spread for localized cooling, while the clustered probabilities around 74–81°F ranges reflect consensus on typical late-summer nocturnal temperatures near 78–80°F amid the elevated baseline. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$25Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 26 under continued high pressure and south winds, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation chances supporting limited radiational cooling. This aligns with the heat wave's persistence, where recent model runs show only modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that could influence the exact minimum. Market-implied odds favoring 71°F or below at 46% likely incorporate historical August variability and any potential model spread for localized cooling, while the clustered probabilities around 74–81°F ranges reflect consensus on typical late-summer nocturnal temperatures near 78–80°F amid the elevated baseline. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 26 under continued high pressure and south winds, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation chances supporting limited radiational cooling. This aligns with the heat wave's persistence, where recent model runs show only modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that could influence the exact minimum. Market-implied odds favoring 71°F or below at 46% likely incorporate historical August variability and any potential model spread for localized cooling, while the clustered probabilities around 74–81°F ranges reflect consensus on typical late-summer nocturnal temperatures near 78–80°F amid the elevated baseline. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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