Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON points to a frontal system arriving over southern Germany on August 25, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 19–21°C in Munich. This contrasts with clearer, warmer conditions on August 24 and 26. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with lower odds for 22°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific range, as modest shifts in model runs could still favor either 19°C or 21°C depending on precipitation onset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 25 août ?
20°C 32%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
32%
21°C
26%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
6%
20°C 32%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
13°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$62 Vol.
2%
18°C
$52 Vol.
7%
19°C
$125 Vol.
19%
20°C
$233 Vol.
32%
21°C
$98 Vol.
26%
22°C
$439 Vol.
10%
23°C or higher
$316 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON points to a frontal system arriving over southern Germany on August 25, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 19–21°C in Munich. This contrasts with clearer, warmer conditions on August 24 and 26. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with lower odds for 22°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific range, as modest shifts in model runs could still favor either 19°C or 21°C depending on precipitation onset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,381Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON points to a frontal system arriving over southern Germany on August 25, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 19–21°C in Munich. This contrasts with clearer, warmer conditions on August 24 and 26. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with lower odds for 22°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific range, as modest shifts in model runs could still favor either 19°C or 21°C depending on precipitation onset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,381Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON points to a frontal system arriving over southern Germany on August 25, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 19–21°C in Munich. This contrasts with clearer, warmer conditions on August 24 and 26. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with lower odds for 22°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific range, as modest shifts in model runs could still favor either 19°C or 21°C depending on precipitation onset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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