Traders see nearly even odds between 18°C or higher and 8°C or below for Munich's lowest temperature on August 25 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show wide spread in the arrival and depth of an Atlantic trough. Persistent high pressure has held recent overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius, yet incoming cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover could enhance radiational cooling or limit it through increased mixing. Model runs differ on boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression, key drivers of minimum temperatures in late-summer Bavaria, with resolution likely improving as 48-hour guidance updates arrive.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 25 août ?
8°C or below 90%
18°C or higher 86%
12°C 29%
13°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
8°C or below
90%
9°C
11%
10°C
11%
11°C
21%
12°C
29%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
2%
17°C
20%
18°C or higher
86%
8°C or below 90%
18°C or higher 86%
12°C 29%
13°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
90%
9°C
$0 Vol.
11%
10°C
$0 Vol.
11%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
29%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
20%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly even odds between 18°C or higher and 8°C or below for Munich's lowest temperature on August 25 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show wide spread in the arrival and depth of an Atlantic trough. Persistent high pressure has held recent overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius, yet incoming cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover could enhance radiational cooling or limit it through increased mixing. Model runs differ on boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression, key drivers of minimum temperatures in late-summer Bavaria, with resolution likely improving as 48-hour guidance updates arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$20Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly even odds between 18°C or higher and 8°C or below for Munich's lowest temperature on August 25 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show wide spread in the arrival and depth of an Atlantic trough. Persistent high pressure has held recent overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius, yet incoming cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover could enhance radiational cooling or limit it through increased mixing. Model runs differ on boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression, key drivers of minimum temperatures in late-summer Bavaria, with resolution likely improving as 48-hour guidance updates arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly even odds between 18°C or higher and 8°C or below for Munich's lowest temperature on August 25 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show wide spread in the arrival and depth of an Atlantic trough. Persistent high pressure has held recent overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius, yet incoming cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover could enhance radiational cooling or limit it through increased mixing. Model runs differ on boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression, key drivers of minimum temperatures in late-summer Bavaria, with resolution likely improving as 48-hour guidance updates arrive.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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