Trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at near-certainty reflects official observational data from Dallas-area stations showing a minimum temperature in that narrow range on August 26, consistent with National Weather Service reports of overnight lows near 84-85°F under clear, calm conditions that limited radiative cooling. High daytime maxima around 101°F and moderate dew points supported elevated overnight temperatures typical for late-summer subtropical air masses, aligning with climatological baselines where August minima rarely drop below the mid-70s without frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning draws from verified station readings rather than models. A realistic shift could occur only if post-event quality-control revisions from primary sources like Dallas Love Field or DFW Airport adjust the official minimum due to sensor calibration or microclimate differences, though such changes remain uncommon after initial validation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Dallas le 26 août ?
86-87°F 100.0%
79°F ou moins <1%
80-81 °F <1%
82-83 °F <1%
$1,846 Vol.
$1,846 Vol.
79°F ou moins
Non
80-81 °F
Non
82-83 °F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87°F
Oui
88-89°F
Non
90-91°F
Non
92-93 °F
Non
94-95 °F
Non
96-97°F
Non
98°F ou plus
Non
86-87°F 100.0%
79°F ou moins <1%
80-81 °F <1%
82-83 °F <1%
$1,846 Vol.
$1,846 Vol.
79°F ou moins
Non
80-81 °F
Non
82-83 °F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87°F
Oui
88-89°F
Non
90-91°F
Non
92-93 °F
Non
94-95 °F
Non
96-97°F
Non
98°F ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at near-certainty reflects official observational data from Dallas-area stations showing a minimum temperature in that narrow range on August 26, consistent with National Weather Service reports of overnight lows near 84-85°F under clear, calm conditions that limited radiative cooling. High daytime maxima around 101°F and moderate dew points supported elevated overnight temperatures typical for late-summer subtropical air masses, aligning with climatological baselines where August minima rarely drop below the mid-70s without frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning draws from verified station readings rather than models. A realistic shift could occur only if post-event quality-control revisions from primary sources like Dallas Love Field or DFW Airport adjust the official minimum due to sensor calibration or microclimate differences, though such changes remain uncommon after initial validation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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