Recent clearing after widespread rain on August 27–28 has set up mostly sunny skies and light winds for Beijing on August 29, allowing strong daytime heating under high pressure. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical models converge on afternoon maxima near 31°C, with some runs showing 30–32°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. This places the market-implied odds for 31°C slightly ahead, reflecting trader weighting of model consensus and climatological norms for late August, while the tight spread across 30–32°C captures remaining uncertainty in peak insolation and local urban heat effects ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 29 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 29 août ?
31°C 32%
30°C 23%
32°C 22%
29°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
23%
31°C
32%
32°C
22%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 32%
30°C 23%
32°C 22%
29°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
25°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
23%
31°C
$0 Vol.
32%
32°C
$6 Vol.
22%
33°C
$11 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$7 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing after widespread rain on August 27–28 has set up mostly sunny skies and light winds for Beijing on August 29, allowing strong daytime heating under high pressure. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical models converge on afternoon maxima near 31°C, with some runs showing 30–32°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. This places the market-implied odds for 31°C slightly ahead, reflecting trader weighting of model consensus and climatological norms for late August, while the tight spread across 30–32°C captures remaining uncertainty in peak insolation and local urban heat effects ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$144Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing after widespread rain on August 27–28 has set up mostly sunny skies and light winds for Beijing on August 29, allowing strong daytime heating under high pressure. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical models converge on afternoon maxima near 31°C, with some runs showing 30–32°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. This places the market-implied odds for 31°C slightly ahead, reflecting trader weighting of model consensus and climatological norms for late August, while the tight spread across 30–32°C captures remaining uncertainty in peak insolation and local urban heat effects ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$144Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent clearing after widespread rain on August 27–28 has set up mostly sunny skies and light winds for Beijing on August 29, allowing strong daytime heating under high pressure. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical models converge on afternoon maxima near 31°C, with some runs showing 30–32°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. This places the market-implied odds for 31°C slightly ahead, reflecting trader weighting of model consensus and climatological norms for late August, while the tight spread across 30–32°C captures remaining uncertainty in peak insolation and local urban heat effects ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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