Latest official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, driven by a persistent southerly airstream, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology of roughly 32°C highs amid the East Asian monsoon, though ongoing rain from regional systems such as Tropical Storm Narra is expected to cap peaks slightly below seasonal norms. Model consensus favors 31°C as the most likely outcome, with traders assigning it the highest implied probability (35.5%) while assigning meaningful weight to nearby values of 30°C and 32°C given typical forecast spread and resolution criteria based on official station readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 27 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 27 août ?
31°C 36%
30°C 19%
32°C 19%
33°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
19%
33°C
17%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 19%
32°C 19%
33°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
25°C or below
$288 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$15 Vol.
36%
32°C
$43 Vol.
19%
33°C
$20 Vol.
17%
34°C
$0 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$44 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, driven by a persistent southerly airstream, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology of roughly 32°C highs amid the East Asian monsoon, though ongoing rain from regional systems such as Tropical Storm Narra is expected to cap peaks slightly below seasonal norms. Model consensus favors 31°C as the most likely outcome, with traders assigning it the highest implied probability (35.5%) while assigning meaningful weight to nearby values of 30°C and 32°C given typical forecast spread and resolution criteria based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$758Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, driven by a persistent southerly airstream, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology of roughly 32°C highs amid the East Asian monsoon, though ongoing rain from regional systems such as Tropical Storm Narra is expected to cap peaks slightly below seasonal norms. Model consensus favors 31°C as the most likely outcome, with traders assigning it the highest implied probability (35.5%) while assigning meaningful weight to nearby values of 30°C and 32°C given typical forecast spread and resolution criteria based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$758Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, driven by a persistent southerly airstream, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology of roughly 32°C highs amid the East Asian monsoon, though ongoing rain from regional systems such as Tropical Storm Narra is expected to cap peaks slightly below seasonal norms. Model consensus favors 31°C as the most likely outcome, with traders assigning it the highest implied probability (35.5%) while assigning meaningful weight to nearby values of 30°C and 32°C given typical forecast spread and resolution criteria based on official station readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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