Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including consensus around 31–33°C highs for Shanghai on August 25, 2026, anchor trader focus on the 31°C and 32°C outcomes that together imply over 77% probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and typical late-August humidity levels near 70–80% support modest diurnal warming without strong advection or clear-sky amplification, while scattered light rain or cloud cover in the latest runs caps upside potential. Historical August averages near 32°C provide climatological context, and the tight clustering of ensemble guidance leaves limited room for deviation beyond 30–33°C ahead of final model updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 25 août ?
31°C 46%
32°C 32%
30°C 13%
33°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
46%
32°C
32%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 46%
32°C 32%
30°C 13%
33°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
25°C or below
$260 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
3%
30°C
$212 Vol.
13%
31°C
$605 Vol.
46%
32°C
$657 Vol.
32%
33°C
$16 Vol.
6%
34°C
$10 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including consensus around 31–33°C highs for Shanghai on August 25, 2026, anchor trader focus on the 31°C and 32°C outcomes that together imply over 77% probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and typical late-August humidity levels near 70–80% support modest diurnal warming without strong advection or clear-sky amplification, while scattered light rain or cloud cover in the latest runs caps upside potential. Historical August averages near 32°C provide climatological context, and the tight clustering of ensemble guidance leaves limited room for deviation beyond 30–33°C ahead of final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,901Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including consensus around 31–33°C highs for Shanghai on August 25, 2026, anchor trader focus on the 31°C and 32°C outcomes that together imply over 77% probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and typical late-August humidity levels near 70–80% support modest diurnal warming without strong advection or clear-sky amplification, while scattered light rain or cloud cover in the latest runs caps upside potential. Historical August averages near 32°C provide climatological context, and the tight clustering of ensemble guidance leaves limited room for deviation beyond 30–33°C ahead of final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,901Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including consensus around 31–33°C highs for Shanghai on August 25, 2026, anchor trader focus on the 31°C and 32°C outcomes that together imply over 77% probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and typical late-August humidity levels near 70–80% support modest diurnal warming without strong advection or clear-sky amplification, while scattered light rain or cloud cover in the latest runs caps upside potential. Historical August averages near 32°C provide climatological context, and the tight clustering of ensemble guidance leaves limited room for deviation beyond 30–33°C ahead of final model updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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