Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus show Istanbul's recent warm spell—driven by southerly flow from Africa and the Middle East—yielding to northeasterly winds and a modest cooling trend by August 27. This positions daily maxima near 28–30 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with low precipitation risk and humidity around 50–65 %. Recent observations of 32 °C peaks on August 25 and progressive drops in ensemble guidance have shifted trader sentiment toward the 27 °C (51.5 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %) bins as the most probable outcomes ahead of the Friday frontal passage. Updated model runs and official bulletins through August 26 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 27 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 27 août ?
27°C 52%
28°C 32%
26°C 12%
29°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
12%
27°C
52%
28°C
32%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 32%
26°C 12%
29°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$36 Vol.
12%
27°C
$147 Vol.
52%
28°C
$30 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus show Istanbul's recent warm spell—driven by southerly flow from Africa and the Middle East—yielding to northeasterly winds and a modest cooling trend by August 27. This positions daily maxima near 28–30 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with low precipitation risk and humidity around 50–65 %. Recent observations of 32 °C peaks on August 25 and progressive drops in ensemble guidance have shifted trader sentiment toward the 27 °C (51.5 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %) bins as the most probable outcomes ahead of the Friday frontal passage. Updated model runs and official bulletins through August 26 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$233Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus show Istanbul's recent warm spell—driven by southerly flow from Africa and the Middle East—yielding to northeasterly winds and a modest cooling trend by August 27. This positions daily maxima near 28–30 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with low precipitation risk and humidity around 50–65 %. Recent observations of 32 °C peaks on August 25 and progressive drops in ensemble guidance have shifted trader sentiment toward the 27 °C (51.5 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %) bins as the most probable outcomes ahead of the Friday frontal passage. Updated model runs and official bulletins through August 26 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$233Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus show Istanbul's recent warm spell—driven by southerly flow from Africa and the Middle East—yielding to northeasterly winds and a modest cooling trend by August 27. This positions daily maxima near 28–30 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with low precipitation risk and humidity around 50–65 %. Recent observations of 32 °C peaks on August 25 and progressive drops in ensemble guidance have shifted trader sentiment toward the 27 °C (51.5 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %) bins as the most probable outcomes ahead of the Friday frontal passage. Updated model runs and official bulletins through August 26 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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