**PAGASA forecasts and the ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant near-term drivers shaping trader views on Manila’s peak temperature for August 27.** Cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms are expected to persist over Metro Manila through August 26–28, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological data place typical August highs near 30–31 °C, with the monsoon’s moisture and cloud cover historically suppressing extremes. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C reflects this balance between seasonal warmth and frequent convective activity. Key variables that could shift the outcome include the exact timing and intensity of monsoon surges or any unexpected break in cloud cover, both of which will be clarified by updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the final 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 27 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 27 août ?
31°C 33%
30°C 27%
32°C 20%
33°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
27%
31°C
33%
32°C
20%
33°C
18%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 33%
30°C 27%
32°C 20%
33°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
25°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
27%
31°C
$0 Vol.
33%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$0 Vol.
18%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**PAGASA forecasts and the ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant near-term drivers shaping trader views on Manila’s peak temperature for August 27.** Cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms are expected to persist over Metro Manila through August 26–28, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological data place typical August highs near 30–31 °C, with the monsoon’s moisture and cloud cover historically suppressing extremes. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C reflects this balance between seasonal warmth and frequent convective activity. Key variables that could shift the outcome include the exact timing and intensity of monsoon surges or any unexpected break in cloud cover, both of which will be clarified by updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**PAGASA forecasts and the ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant near-term drivers shaping trader views on Manila’s peak temperature for August 27.** Cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms are expected to persist over Metro Manila through August 26–28, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological data place typical August highs near 30–31 °C, with the monsoon’s moisture and cloud cover historically suppressing extremes. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C reflects this balance between seasonal warmth and frequent convective activity. Key variables that could shift the outcome include the exact timing and intensity of monsoon surges or any unexpected break in cloud cover, both of which will be clarified by updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**PAGASA forecasts and the ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant near-term drivers shaping trader views on Manila’s peak temperature for August 27.** Cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms are expected to persist over Metro Manila through August 26–28, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological data place typical August highs near 30–31 °C, with the monsoon’s moisture and cloud cover historically suppressing extremes. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C reflects this balance between seasonal warmth and frequent convective activity. Key variables that could shift the outcome include the exact timing and intensity of monsoon surges or any unexpected break in cloud cover, both of which will be clarified by updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the final 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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