**Trader consensus on the Madrid highest-temperature market clusters tightly around 23–25°C, with 24°C as the clear favorite at 42% implied probability.** This positioning reflects model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European forecasts showing a cool Atlantic trough dominating the Iberian Peninsula on August 27. Southwest winds advecting maritime air, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, suppress daytime insolation and limit surface heating well below the late-August climatological average of ~31°C. Recent observations confirm a sharp cool-down after mid-month warmth, with overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius further capping the diurnal range. Forecast guidance shows limited model spread, with peak readings most likely between 21–24°C depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Upcoming hourly updates from AEMET or ECMWF runs could shift odds modestly if clearing occurs earlier than expected, but current conditions strongly favor the narrow 23–25°C band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 27 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 27 août ?
24°C 43%
23°C 30%
25°C 21%
26°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$71,104 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$71,104 Vol.
27 août 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
30%
24°C
43%
25°C
21%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 43%
23°C 30%
25°C 21%
26°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$71,104 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$71,104 Vol.
27 août 2026
21°C or below
$6,477 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$10,761 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,803 Vol.
30%
24°C
$7,255 Vol.
43%
25°C
$6,416 Vol.
21%
26°C
$8,706 Vol.
7%
27°C
$2,490 Vol.
1%
28°C
$4,274 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,749 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,495 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$8,735 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Madrid highest-temperature market clusters tightly around 23–25°C, with 24°C as the clear favorite at 42% implied probability.** This positioning reflects model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European forecasts showing a cool Atlantic trough dominating the Iberian Peninsula on August 27. Southwest winds advecting maritime air, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, suppress daytime insolation and limit surface heating well below the late-August climatological average of ~31°C. Recent observations confirm a sharp cool-down after mid-month warmth, with overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius further capping the diurnal range. Forecast guidance shows limited model spread, with peak readings most likely between 21–24°C depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Upcoming hourly updates from AEMET or ECMWF runs could shift odds modestly if clearing occurs earlier than expected, but current conditions strongly favor the narrow 23–25°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$71,104Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Madrid highest-temperature market clusters tightly around 23–25°C, with 24°C as the clear favorite at 42% implied probability.** This positioning reflects model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European forecasts showing a cool Atlantic trough dominating the Iberian Peninsula on August 27. Southwest winds advecting maritime air, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, suppress daytime insolation and limit surface heating well below the late-August climatological average of ~31°C. Recent observations confirm a sharp cool-down after mid-month warmth, with overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius further capping the diurnal range. Forecast guidance shows limited model spread, with peak readings most likely between 21–24°C depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Upcoming hourly updates from AEMET or ECMWF runs could shift odds modestly if clearing occurs earlier than expected, but current conditions strongly favor the narrow 23–25°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71,104Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Madrid highest-temperature market clusters tightly around 23–25°C, with 24°C as the clear favorite at 42% implied probability.** This positioning reflects model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European forecasts showing a cool Atlantic trough dominating the Iberian Peninsula on August 27. Southwest winds advecting maritime air, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, suppress daytime insolation and limit surface heating well below the late-August climatological average of ~31°C. Recent observations confirm a sharp cool-down after mid-month warmth, with overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius further capping the diurnal range. Forecast guidance shows limited model spread, with peak readings most likely between 21–24°C depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Upcoming hourly updates from AEMET or ECMWF runs could shift odds modestly if clearing occurs earlier than expected, but current conditions strongly favor the narrow 23–25°C band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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