Forecast models from Environment Canada and major outlets converge on a high near 25°C for Toronto on August 26, with a mix of sun and cloud plus a modest shower chance that limits daytime heating. This underpins the tight market split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of any cloud build-up or convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky scenarios, alongside regional steering patterns and lake-breeze moderation from Lake Ontario. Historical late-August baselines sit around 24–25°C, so current conditions reflect near-normal warmth without strong anomalous forcing. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Toronto le 26 août ?
25°C 37%
26°C 28%
27°C 12%
24°C 9%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
37%
26°C
28%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
2%
25°C 37%
26°C 28%
27°C 12%
24°C 9%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
37%
26°C
28%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Environment Canada and major outlets converge on a high near 25°C for Toronto on August 26, with a mix of sun and cloud plus a modest shower chance that limits daytime heating. This underpins the tight market split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of any cloud build-up or convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky scenarios, alongside regional steering patterns and lake-breeze moderation from Lake Ontario. Historical late-August baselines sit around 24–25°C, so current conditions reflect near-normal warmth without strong anomalous forcing. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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