Current meteorological consensus from MetService and global models positions a 15–16°C high for Wellington on August 25 as the leading outcome, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting milder air ahead of a weak front. Recent observations show temperatures running 2–4°C above the long-term August mean of roughly 13–14°C, with a 17°C peak recorded on August 23 supporting the elevated baseline. Ensemble guidance indicates limited diurnal warming under increasing cloud cover and gusty winds, keeping the daily maximum unlikely to reach 17°C or drop to 14°C. Updated model runs overnight and official station readings tomorrow morning represent the final data points that will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 25 août ?
16°C 57%
15°C 18%
17°C 16%
18°C 4%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
18%
16°C
57%
17°C
16%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 57%
15°C 18%
17°C 16%
18°C 4%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
18%
16°C
57%
17°C
16%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological consensus from MetService and global models positions a 15–16°C high for Wellington on August 25 as the leading outcome, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting milder air ahead of a weak front. Recent observations show temperatures running 2–4°C above the long-term August mean of roughly 13–14°C, with a 17°C peak recorded on August 23 supporting the elevated baseline. Ensemble guidance indicates limited diurnal warming under increasing cloud cover and gusty winds, keeping the daily maximum unlikely to reach 17°C or drop to 14°C. Updated model runs overnight and official station readings tomorrow morning represent the final data points that will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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