Market-implied odds show near-certainty that Miami's lowest temperature on August 28 reached 80-81°F, driven by National Weather Service station observations confirming an overnight minimum in that narrow band. Late-August climatology in South Florida features persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points that limit radiational cooling, keeping diurnal lows typically between 78-82°F even under clear skies. Official data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS sites align with this range, consistent with the absence of any tropical disturbance or frontal intrusion that could produce greater cooling. Traders' strong consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements over model projections. Only an unexpected station calibration issue or localized microclimate anomaly would realistically shift the recorded low outside 80-81°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Miami le 28 août ?
La température la plus basse à Miami le 28 août ?
80-81°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$4,375 Vol.
$4,375 Vol.
28 août 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$4,375 Vol.
$4,375 Vol.
28 août 2026
67°F or below
$863 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$173 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$184 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$228 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$389 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$363 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$608 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$693 Vol.
Yes
82-83°F
$596 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$164 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$114 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds show near-certainty that Miami's lowest temperature on August 28 reached 80-81°F, driven by National Weather Service station observations confirming an overnight minimum in that narrow band. Late-August climatology in South Florida features persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points that limit radiational cooling, keeping diurnal lows typically between 78-82°F even under clear skies. Official data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS sites align with this range, consistent with the absence of any tropical disturbance or frontal intrusion that could produce greater cooling. Traders' strong consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements over model projections. Only an unexpected station calibration issue or localized microclimate anomaly would realistically shift the recorded low outside 80-81°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$4,375Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds show near-certainty that Miami's lowest temperature on August 28 reached 80-81°F, driven by National Weather Service station observations confirming an overnight minimum in that narrow band. Late-August climatology in South Florida features persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points that limit radiational cooling, keeping diurnal lows typically between 78-82°F even under clear skies. Official data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS sites align with this range, consistent with the absence of any tropical disturbance or frontal intrusion that could produce greater cooling. Traders' strong consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements over model projections. Only an unexpected station calibration issue or localized microclimate anomaly would realistically shift the recorded low outside 80-81°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,375Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Market-implied odds show near-certainty that Miami's lowest temperature on August 28 reached 80-81°F, driven by National Weather Service station observations confirming an overnight minimum in that narrow band. Late-August climatology in South Florida features persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points that limit radiational cooling, keeping diurnal lows typically between 78-82°F even under clear skies. Official data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS sites align with this range, consistent with the absence of any tropical disturbance or frontal intrusion that could produce greater cooling. Traders' strong consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements over model projections. Only an unexpected station calibration issue or localized microclimate anomaly would realistically shift the recorded low outside 80-81°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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